California 15th State Senate District, California: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+40%. Democratic peak: D+52 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+40MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,029,5982024 5-year
- Median household income
- $164,2812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 29.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 25.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 15, CAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 276,471 | 114,175 | 406,217 | ||
| D | 334,512 | 116,172 | 460,396 | ||
| D | 276,980 | 78,396 | 380,925 | ||
| D | 244,033 | 94,644 | 348,754 | ||
| D | 250,216 | 102,870 | 360,290 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.4%
English
5.0%
Irish
4.5%
Italian
3.3%
American
1.7%
French
1.2%
Polish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$164,281
State Senate District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 15$164,281
California$99,122
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
7.1%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 187.0%
Working age (18–64)6.8%
Seniors (65+)11.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
44.8%
speak English only
Asian & Pacific Islander26.5%
Spanish17.1%
Other Indo-European10.1%
Other languages1.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+16.4, this Inland or Central Valley district bucks the statewide Democratic lean, making it a reliable bellwether for Republican performance in California's competitive down-ballot races.
The Democratic margin in California 15th State Senate District reached its widest at fifty-two points in 2016. The margin in 2024 was forty points — still decisive.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $164,281, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 1,029,598 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/06015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 15, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, California voted Democratic by 40.0 points (D+40), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 406,217 votes cast, 276,471 went Democratic and 114,175 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, California as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, California?
State Senate District 15, California has a population of 1,029,598 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, California?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, California is $164,281 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, California?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, California from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.