akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 10·Florida

Florida 10th State Senate District delivered R+2 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Florida's most lopsided legislative districts by presidential margin

2008 — 2024·5 elections
FL
Latest
R+2
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
535,435
2024 ACS

Florida 10th State Senate District, Florida: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+2%. Democratic peak: D+5 in 2020.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
535,4352024 5-year
Median household income
$85,0322024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
57.1%2024 5-year
Black
12.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
25.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+5 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+4 in 2012MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.9%
133,008138,207274,774
D
+4.8%
146,937133,247283,469
D
+1.0%
118,053115,595243,905
R
−4.2%
106,326115,793225,012
R
−0.8%
109,123110,951222,190

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
11.1%
German
10.3%
Irish
9.5%
English
9.3%
Italian
6.0%
Polish
2.3%
French
2.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.2%
2.0%
75–84
2.8%
4.3%
65–74
5.2%
6.0%
55–64
6.4%
6.5%
45–54
6.8%
7.3%
35–44
7.4%
7.2%
25–34
7.2%
4.1%
18–24
4.1%
7.9%
5–17
7.7%
2.5%
<5
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$85,032
State Senate District 10 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 10$85,032
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.5%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1810.3%
Working age (18–64)9.2%
Seniors (65+)11.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
75.0%
speak English only
Spanish16.8%
Other Indo-European4.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.6%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.0%
Other Christian
17.6%
Baptist
6.3%
Mainline Protestant
2.5%
Methodist
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.1%
Non-Christian
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Covering a heavily rural stretch of the Florida Panhandle, this district recorded an R+46.3 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most one-sided state senate districts in the state. Competitive primaries often matter more than general elections here.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached five points in 2020; the Republican margin reached four points in 2012. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 535,435, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $85,032 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 10, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/12010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 10, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 10, Florida voted Republican by 1.9 points (R+2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 274,774 votes cast, 133,008 went Democratic and 138,207 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 10, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 10, Florida as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 3 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 10, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 10, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 10, Florida?
State Senate District 10, Florida has a population of 535,435 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 10, Florida?
Median household income in State Senate District 10, Florida is $85,032 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of State Senate District 10, Florida?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 10, Florida from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.