akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 15·Florida

Florida 15th State Senate District has voted Democratic by double digits in every cycle this century.

One of Florida's most Republican-leaning upper-chamber districts

20082024·5 elections
FL
Latest
D+14
in 2024
Archetype
Urban anchor
since the recent cycles
Population
534,207
2024 ACS

Florida 15th State Senate District, Florida: Urban anchor district. In 2024, voted D+14%. Democratic peak: D+25 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Urban anchorAkashic typology
Population
534,2072024 5-year
Median household income
$79,7192024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
42.0%2024 5-year
Black
20.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
33.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+25 in 2016MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+13.6%
123,68893,737220,369
D
+23.1%
143,36289,062234,961
D
+24.7%
119,72870,849198,258
D
+18.2%
99,32168,444169,597
D
+18.6%
99,08367,807168,050

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
8.7%
German
6.5%
English
6.3%
Irish
5.9%
Italian
4.5%
Polish
1.5%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
61.5%
speak English only
Spanish26.2%
Other Indo-European8.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.8%
Other languages1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
16.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
16.0%
Baptist
6.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.1%
Non-Christian
2.7%
Methodist
2.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+34, this north-central Florida district ranks among the state's most reliably right-leaning senate seats, leaving little competitive ground for either major party to contest in most cycles.

The Democratic margin in Florida 15th State Senate District has been steady. It reached its modern peak at twenty-five points in 2016; the 2024 margin was fourteen points, still in line with the district's long pattern.

Its political identity is inseparable from its demographic profile: a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $79,719, and the full diversity of a major metropolitan center.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/12015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 15, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, Florida voted Democratic by 13.6 points (D+14), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 220,369 votes cast, 123,688 went Democratic and 93,737 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, Florida as a "Urban anchor" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, Florida?
State Senate District 15, Florida has a population of 534,207 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, Florida?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, Florida is $79,719 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, Florida?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, Florida from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Urban anchor" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.