Florida 38th State Senate District, Florida: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+11%. Democratic peak: D+30 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 543,6742024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,7532024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 26.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 69.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+11 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 38, FLOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 95,370 | 120,234 | 217,224 | ||
| D | 122,671 | 105,789 | 229,675 | ||
| D | 123,918 | 66,312 | 194,610 | ||
| D | 107,498 | 66,110 | 174,552 | ||
| D | 99,237 | 71,584 | 171,665 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
4.6%
Italian
2.4%
German
1.7%
Irish
1.3%
English
1.2%
French
0.8%
Polish
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$71,753
State Senate District 38 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 38$71,753
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.2%
Working age (18–64)12.8%
Seniors (65+)23.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
24.7%
speak English only
Spanish66.7%
Other Indo-European7.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Florida Senate District 38 has emerged as one of the state's closest competitive districts, with the 2024 presidential result settling at D+1.6 — a margin narrow enough that turnout patterns and candidate quality can independently decide outcomes.
The Democratic margin in Florida 38th State Senate District reached its widest at thirty points in 2016. The margin in 2024 was eleven points — a notable narrowing.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $71,753, a 27% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 543,674 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 38, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/12038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 38, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 38, Florida voted Republican by 11.4 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 217,224 votes cast, 95,370 went Democratic and 120,234 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 38, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 38, Florida as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 1 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 38, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 38, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 38, Florida?
State Senate District 38, Florida has a population of 543,674 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 38, Florida?
Median household income in State Senate District 38, Florida is $71,753 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of State Senate District 38, Florida?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 38, Florida from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 1 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.