akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 4·Maryland

Maryland 4th State Senate District delivered D+9 in 2024.

A suburban Maryland district tilting measurably toward Republican margins

20082024·5 elections
MD
Latest
D+9
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
126,452
2024 ACS

Maryland 4th State Senate District, Maryland: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+9%. Democratic peak: D+10 in 2020.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+9MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
126,4522024 5-year
Median household income
$122,0022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
67.5%2024 5-year
Black
10.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
12.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+10 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+3 in 2012MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+8.7%
36,30330,28768,772
D
+9.6%
34,21828,05464,147
R
−2.4%
24,89926,22154,282
R
−3.1%
24,29325,90251,592
R
−1.0%
23,79424,30448,980

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.7%
Irish
12.9%
English
12.4%
Italian
5.9%
American
4.7%
Polish
3.1%
Scottish
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
82.3%
speak English only
Spanish9.0%
Other Indo-European3.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.1%
Other languages1.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.3%
Other Christian
6.1%
Mainline Protestant
5.9%
Methodist
5.5%
Non-Christian
2.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Baptist
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Maryland Senate District 4 posted a 6.1-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it one of the state's more competitive Republican-leaning districts in a state that otherwise votes heavily Democratic at the statewide level.

The Democratic margin in Maryland 4th State Senate District has rarely exceeded ten points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded three points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by nine points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 68% non-Hispanic-white share, a 6% poverty rate, and a median household income of $122,002 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 4, Maryland — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/24004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 4, Maryland vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 4, Maryland voted Democratic by 8.7 points (D+9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 68,772 votes cast, 36,303 went Democratic and 30,287 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 4, Maryland's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 4, Maryland as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 3 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 4, Maryland last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 4, Maryland voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in State Senate District 4, Maryland?
State Senate District 4, Maryland has a population of 126,452 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 4, Maryland?
Median household income in State Senate District 4, Maryland is $122,002 — above the national median of $80,734. The Maryland state median is $103,678.
What is the political history of State Senate District 4, Maryland?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 4, Maryland from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.