akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 20·Minnesota

Minnesota 20th State Senate District delivered R+14 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A rural Iron Range district that has swung sharply rightward over two decades

20082024·5 elections
MN
Latest
R+14
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
84,757
2024 ACS

Minnesota 20th State Senate District, Minnesota: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+14%. Republican peak: R+16 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
84,7572024 5-year
Median household income
$84,5112024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.7%2024 5-year
Black
2.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+1 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+16 in 2016MIT Election Lab
5 counties · 2 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−14.2%
21,11828,26550,479
R
−12.3%
21,25627,40649,891
R
−15.7%
16,92624,00244,932
R
−1.2%
21,64722,18744,955
D
+1.0%
22,20321,75345,018

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
36.2%
Irish
11.4%
English
6.6%
American
3.9%
Polish
3.0%
French
2.0%
Italian
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.7%
speak English only
Spanish2.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
33.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
20.7%
Other Christian
4.2%
Methodist
2.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Baptist
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 37.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Once a Democratic stronghold anchored by mining-union households, this northeastern Minnesota district delivered a 21-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a broader realignment among working-class voters in resource-extraction communities.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached one points in 2008; the Republican margin reached sixteen points in 2016. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 84,757, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $84,511 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 20, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/27020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 20, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 20, Minnesota voted Republican by 14.2 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 50,479 votes cast, 21,118 went Democratic and 28,265 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 20, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 20, Minnesota as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 1 times, Republican 4 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 20, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 20, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in State Senate District 20, Minnesota?
State Senate District 20, Minnesota has a population of 84,757 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 20, Minnesota?
Median household income in State Senate District 20, Minnesota is $84,511 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of State Senate District 20, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 20, Minnesota from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.