Minnesota 31st State Senate District, Minnesota: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Republican peak: R+10 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 85,8632024 5-year
- Median household income
- $101,5142024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+10 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 31, MNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 22,453 | 25,085 | 48,883 | ||
| R | 23,170 | 24,540 | 48,947 | ||
| R | 17,354 | 21,784 | 43,049 | ||
| R | 20,437 | 21,707 | 43,170 | ||
| R | 20,078 | 21,221 | 42,203 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
26.1%
Irish
10.1%
English
6.0%
American
5.9%
Polish
4.8%
French
2.7%
Italian
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$101,514
State Senate District 31 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 31$101,514
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
7.0%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 189.3%
Working age (18–64)6.2%
Seniors (65+)8.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.0%
speak English only
Other languages4.7%
Spanish4.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.4%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+34.8, this district ranks among the most reliably Democratic in the state, suggesting dense urban geography and a voter base that consistently breaks heavily toward one party.
The Democratic margin in Minnesota 31st State Senate District has rarely exceeded a modest threshold in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded ten points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by five points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 76% non-Hispanic-white share, a 7% poverty rate, and a median household income of $101,514 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 31, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/27031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 31, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 31, Minnesota voted Republican by 5.4 points (R+5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 48,883 votes cast, 22,453 went Democratic and 25,085 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 31, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 31, Minnesota as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 31, Minnesota?
State Senate District 31, Minnesota has a population of 85,863 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 31, Minnesota?
Median household income in State Senate District 31, Minnesota is $101,514 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of State Senate District 31, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 31, Minnesota from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.