akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 15·New Hampshire

New Hampshire 15th State Senate District delivered D+5 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A swing-margin district where a 2.4-point edge signals genuine competition

20082024·5 elections
NH
Latest
D+5
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
58,119
2024 ACS

New Hampshire 15th State Senate District, New Hampshire: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+5%. Democratic peak: D+14 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+5MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
58,1192024 5-year
Median household income
$97,0042024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
90.8%2024 5-year
Black
1.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+14 in 2008MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+5.2%
17,95416,15934,647
D
+9.8%
18,08514,79833,495
D
+3.0%
14,97914,03931,170
D
+12.7%
16,67812,86530,002
D
+13.8%
16,79812,67329,850

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
20.2%
English
19.7%
French
11.6%
German
9.0%
Italian
8.1%
American
4.9%
Scottish
4.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.7%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.5%
Spanish1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
15.9%
Other Christian
4.4%
Mainline Protestant
3.3%
Baptist
1.3%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Methodist
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 72.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

New Hampshire Senate District 15's modest R+2.4 presidential margin places it firmly in battleground territory, making it a consistent target for both parties in state legislative cycles.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fourteen points in 2008; Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 58,119, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $97,004 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, New Hampshire — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/33015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 15, New Hampshire vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, New Hampshire voted Democratic by 5.2 points (D+5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 34,647 votes cast, 17,954 went Democratic and 16,159 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, New Hampshire's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, New Hampshire as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, New Hampshire?
State Senate District 15, New Hampshire has a population of 58,119 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, New Hampshire?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, New Hampshire is $97,004 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, New Hampshire?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, New Hampshire from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.