New Hampshire 21st State Senate District, New Hampshire: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Democratic peak: D+8 in 2008.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 56,8942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $106,8612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+8 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+1 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 17,705 | 16,722 | 34,921 | ||
| D | 17,866 | 15,547 | 33,996 | ||
| R | 14,537 | 14,720 | 31,295 | ||
| D | 14,741 | 14,056 | 29,256 | ||
| D | 15,458 | 13,115 | 28,951 |
Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+37.5, this district ranks among the most lopsided in the state senate map, suggesting a dense urban or college-town core that consistently produces outsized Democratic margins.
The Democratic margin in New Hampshire 21st State Senate District has rarely exceeded eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded one points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 90% non-Hispanic-white share, a 6% poverty rate, and a median household income of $106,861 — all within the broad national range.
State Senate District 21, New Hampshire — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/33021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.