New Jersey 1st State Senate District, New Jersey: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+12%. Republican peak: R+12 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 236,1262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,1762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+8 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+12 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 46,364 | 58,802 | 106,535 | ||
| R | 54,349 | 60,032 | 116,037 | ||
| R | 44,513 | 51,114 | 99,639 | ||
| D | 53,092 | 44,966 | 99,318 | ||
| D | 55,136 | 48,046 | 104,824 |
Demographics
Covering parts of Sussex and Warren counties, this rural and small-town district backed the Republican presidential nominee by 3 points in 2024 — a narrower gap than its historical baseline suggests, signaling a gradually shifting electorate.
The Democratic margin in New Jersey 1st State Senate District has rarely exceeded eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twelve points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by twelve points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $77,176 — all within the broad national range.
State Senate District 1, New Jersey — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/34001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.