New Jersey 12th State Senate District, New Jersey: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+12%. Republican peak: R+12 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 225,0802024 5-year
- Median household income
- $109,3222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+12 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 47,771 | 61,517 | 111,450 | ||
| R | 55,425 | 58,385 | 115,584 | ||
| R | 43,633 | 49,547 | 97,107 | ||
| D | 44,653 | 42,686 | 88,487 | ||
| D | 47,515 | 47,034 | 95,886 |
Demographics
Anchored in the rural and suburban communities of northwestern New Jersey, this district delivered a 25-point-plus margin in 2024, making it a reliable outlier in a state that typically trends Democratic in statewide contests.
The Democratic margin in New Jersey 12th State Senate District has rarely exceeded two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twelve points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by twelve points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 65% non-Hispanic-white share, a 8% poverty rate, and a median household income of $109,322 — all within the broad national range.
State Senate District 12, New Jersey — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/34012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.