New Jersey 25th State Senate District, New Jersey: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+8 in 2012.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 238,4022024 5-year
- Median household income
- $132,1322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+5 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+8 in 2012MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 60,847 | 64,348 | 127,818 | ||
| D | 70,024 | 62,964 | 135,592 | ||
| R | 53,402 | 55,801 | 114,587 | ||
| R | 47,268 | 55,072 | 103,588 | ||
| R | 52,001 | 58,382 | 111,683 |
Demographics
Covering parts of Ocean County's Shore communities and inland suburbs, this district backed the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by 11.4 points — a margin that has held relatively steady as the area's older, white working-class electorate shifted rightward over the past decade.
The Democratic margin in New Jersey 25th State Senate District has rarely exceeded five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded eight points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 66% non-Hispanic-white share, a 6% poverty rate, and a median household income of $132,132 — all within the broad national range.
State Senate District 25, New Jersey — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/34025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.