akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 4·North Carolina

North Carolina 4th State Senate District delivered R+10 in 2024.

One of North Carolina's most reliably Republican legislative districts

20082024·5 elections
NC
Latest
R+10
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
216,568
2024 ACS

North Carolina 4th State Senate District, North Carolina: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+10%. Republican peak: R+10 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+10MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
216,5682024 5-year
Median household income
$57,9162024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
49.0%2024 5-year
Black
33.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
13.4%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+10 in 2024MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−10.0%
45,58055,809102,378
R
−6.0%
48,39354,689104,133
R
−4.5%
44,66449,02096,098
R
−2.1%
47,56849,57797,862
R
−2.6%
45,73548,18194,370

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
12.6%
English
10.8%
Irish
6.5%
German
5.4%
Italian
1.5%
Scottish
1.3%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.3%
speak English only
Spanish11.8%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
14.6%
Baptist
11.2%
Methodist
7.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.8%
Mainline Protestant
3.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.7%
Non-Christian
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+27, this western or rural North Carolina district ranks among the state's most one-sided, where statewide and legislative races consistently move in lockstep.

The Democratic margin in North Carolina 4th State Senate District has rarely exceeded a modest threshold in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded ten points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by ten points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 49% non-Hispanic-white share, a 19% poverty rate, and a median household income of $57,916 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 4, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/37004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 4, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 4, North Carolina voted Republican by 10.0 points (R+10), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 102,378 votes cast, 45,580 went Democratic and 55,809 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 4, North Carolina's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 4, North Carolina as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 4, North Carolina?
State Senate District 4, North Carolina has a population of 216,568 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 4, North Carolina?
Median household income in State Senate District 4, North Carolina is $57,916 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of State Senate District 4, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 4, North Carolina from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.