North Carolina 21st State Senate District, North Carolina: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+10%. Republican peak: R+10 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 217,9842024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,6322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 24.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+10 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 21, NCOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 47,850 | 58,575 | 107,839 | ||
| R | 49,265 | 55,929 | 106,876 | ||
| R | 40,540 | 46,900 | 90,840 | ||
| R | 42,170 | 45,745 | 88,722 | ||
| R | 42,850 | 44,190 | 87,666 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
11.6%
German
10.3%
Irish
8.4%
American
6.7%
Italian
3.8%
Scottish
3.3%
Polish
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,632
State Senate District 21 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 21$72,632
North Carolina$72,388
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.0%
Working age (18–64)12.4%
Seniors (65+)11.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.9%
speak English only
Spanish6.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+24.7, this district ranks among the state's most reliably left-leaning constituencies, suggesting a dense urban or majority-minority population base that consistently drives lopsided down-ballot results.
The Democratic margin in North Carolina 21st State Senate District has rarely exceeded a modest threshold in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded ten points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by ten points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $72,632 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 21, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/37021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 21, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 21, North Carolina voted Republican by 9.9 points (R+10), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 107,839 votes cast, 47,850 went Democratic and 58,575 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 21, North Carolina's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 21, North Carolina as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 21, North Carolina?
State Senate District 21, North Carolina has a population of 217,984 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 21, North Carolina?
Median household income in State Senate District 21, North Carolina is $72,632 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of State Senate District 21, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 21, North Carolina from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.