akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 31·North Carolina

North Carolina 31st State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

One of North Carolina's most Republican-leaning upper-chamber districts

2008 — 2024·5 elections
NC
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
215,359
2024 ACS

North Carolina 31st State Senate District, North Carolina: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Republican peak: R+4 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+4MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
215,3592024 5-year
Median household income
$66,2982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
62.9%2024 5-year
Black
20.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
12.8%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+4 in 2012MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−3.6%
55,31059,493116,488
R
−2.1%
54,73057,130113,520
R
−4.2%
45,98350,164100,355
R
−3.7%
46,38049,97297,578
D
+0.1%
46,68346,56494,223

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
15.1%
German
10.2%
Irish
8.2%
American
7.1%
Italian
2.8%
Scottish
2.1%
Polish
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.3%
2.4%
75–84
3.0%
4.9%
65–74
5.9%
6.5%
55–64
6.9%
6.0%
45–54
6.6%
5.7%
35–44
6.1%
6.1%
25–34
6.5%
4.5%
18–24
4.8%
8.3%
5–17
8.1%
2.7%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$66,298
State Senate District 31 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 31$66,298
North Carolina$72,388
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.0%
Working age (18–64)12.0%
Seniors (65+)11.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.5%
speak English only
Spanish10.1%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
27.0%
Baptist
13.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
10.3%
Methodist
9.3%
Mainline Protestant
4.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.7%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 31.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+43, this western or rural district sits far outside North Carolina's competitive corridors, delivering among the most lopsided statewide results of any state senate seat.

The Democratic margin in North Carolina 31st State Senate District has rarely exceeded zero points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by four points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 63% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $66,298 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 31, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/37031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 31, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 31, North Carolina voted Republican by 3.6 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 116,488 votes cast, 55,310 went Democratic and 59,493 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 31, North Carolina's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 31, North Carolina as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 1 times, Republican 4 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 31, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 31, North Carolina voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in State Senate District 31, North Carolina?
State Senate District 31, North Carolina has a population of 215,359 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 31, North Carolina?
Median household income in State Senate District 31, North Carolina is $66,298 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of State Senate District 31, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 31, North Carolina from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.