Oregon 10th State Senate District, Oregon: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+5 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 142,3032024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,2122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+1 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+5 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 31,919 | 33,736 | 68,151 | ||
| D | 34,212 | 34,207 | 70,835 | ||
| R | 24,472 | 27,384 | 58,776 | ||
| R | 24,034 | 25,908 | 51,593 | ||
| D | 26,161 | 25,556 | 53,226 |
Demographics
Oregon Senate District 10 sits within the Portland metro area, where a dense, younger, and highly educated population has produced consistent double-digit Democratic presidential margins across recent election cycles.
The Democratic margin in Oregon 10th State Senate District has rarely exceeded one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded five points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 71% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $80,212 — all within the broad national range.
State Senate District 10, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/41010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.