akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 10·Oregon

Oregon 10th State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

Portland-anchored district where Democrats have held double-digit margins

20082024·5 elections
OR
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
142,303
2024 ACS

Oregon 10th State Senate District, Oregon: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+5 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
142,3032024 5-year
Median household income
$80,2122024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
70.5%2024 5-year
Black
1.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
24.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+1 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+5 in 2016MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−2.7%
31,91933,73668,151
D
+0.0%
34,21234,20770,835
R
−5.0%
24,47227,38458,776
R
−3.6%
24,03425,90851,593
D
+1.1%
26,16125,55653,226

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.0%
English
12.9%
Irish
9.2%
American
3.8%
Scottish
2.9%
Italian
2.8%
French
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
79.4%
speak English only
Spanish16.4%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
16.9%
Other Christian
13.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.8%
Mainline Protestant
2.2%
Baptist
0.6%
Methodist
0.6%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Oregon Senate District 10 sits within the Portland metro area, where a dense, younger, and highly educated population has produced consistent double-digit Democratic presidential margins across recent election cycles.

The Democratic margin in Oregon 10th State Senate District has rarely exceeded one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded five points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 71% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $80,212 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 10, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/41010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 10, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 10, Oregon voted Republican by 2.7 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 68,151 votes cast, 31,919 went Democratic and 33,736 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 10, Oregon's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 10, Oregon as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 3 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 10, Oregon last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 10, Oregon voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 10, Oregon?
State Senate District 10, Oregon has a population of 142,303 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 10, Oregon?
Median household income in State Senate District 10, Oregon is $80,212 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of State Senate District 10, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 10, Oregon from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.