Oregon 12th State Senate District, Oregon: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Republican peak: R+8 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 141,5262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $88,8402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+8 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 12, OROne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 34,084 | 38,214 | 75,204 | ||
| R | 35,568 | 38,215 | 76,577 | ||
| R | 25,319 | 30,171 | 63,492 | ||
| R | 25,229 | 28,553 | 55,798 | ||
| R | 27,220 | 27,870 | 56,776 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.8%
English
13.9%
Irish
10.3%
American
5.2%
Italian
3.3%
Scottish
3.1%
French
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$88,840
State Senate District 12 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 12$88,840
Oregon$83,011
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.6%
Working age (18–64)10.1%
Seniors (65+)10.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.6%
speak English only
Spanish10.7%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 71.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Oregon 12th State Senate District in the Pacific Northwest has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Oregon 12th State Senate District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in Oregon 12th State Senate District has rarely exceeded a modest threshold in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded eight points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by five points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $88,840 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 12, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/41012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 12, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 12, Oregon voted Republican by 5.5 points (R+5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 75,204 votes cast, 34,084 went Democratic and 38,214 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 12, Oregon's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 12, Oregon as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 12, Oregon?
State Senate District 12, Oregon has a population of 141,526 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 12, Oregon?
Median household income in State Senate District 12, Oregon is $88,840 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of State Senate District 12, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 12, Oregon from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.