akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 15·Oregon

Oregon 15th State Senate District delivered D+34 in 2024 — Democratic for the long memory.

A rural high-desert district where Republicans hold a double-digit presidential margin

20082024·5 elections
OR
Latest
D+34
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
140,598
2024 ACS

Oregon 15th State Senate District, Oregon: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+34%. Democratic peak: D+35 in 2020.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+34MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
140,5982024 5-year
Median household income
$107,7722024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
63.5%2024 5-year
Black
2.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
18.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 2020MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+33.7%
44,93321,55569,362
D
+34.6%
48,87423,06474,571
D
+26.0%
35,67719,36862,677
D
+17.4%
31,49621,87755,179
D
+22.1%
32,95120,76255,088

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
14.2%
English
12.8%
Irish
9.1%
American
5.1%
Italian
3.1%
Scottish
2.6%
French
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
74.2%
speak English only
Spanish12.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander6.8%
Other Indo-European5.1%
Other languages1.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
14.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.8%
Non-Christian
3.8%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Methodist
0.5%
Baptist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 65.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Covering sparsely populated terrain in central or eastern Oregon, this district leans reliably toward Republican candidates at the federal level, with a 15.9-point presidential margin reflecting the region's rural and agricultural character.

The Democratic margin in Oregon 15th State Senate District reached its widest at thirty-five points in 2020. The margin in 2024 was thirty-four points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $107,772, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 140,598 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/41015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 15, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, Oregon voted Democratic by 33.7 points (D+34), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 69,362 votes cast, 44,933 went Democratic and 21,555 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, Oregon's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, Oregon as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, Oregon?
State Senate District 15, Oregon has a population of 140,598 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, Oregon?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, Oregon is $107,772 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, Oregon from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.