akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 19·Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania 19th State Senate District delivered D+14 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Pennsylvania's most reliably Republican legislative districts

20082024·5 elections
PA
Latest
D+14
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
253,375
2024 ACS

Pennsylvania 19th State Senate District, Pennsylvania: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+14%. Democratic peak: D+17 in 2020.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
253,3752024 5-year
Median household income
$127,2082024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
77.0%2024 5-year
Black
5.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+17 in 2020MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+14.5%
85,23063,501150,295
D
+17.0%
84,34759,461146,035
D
+9.4%
65,52853,703126,261
R
−0.2%
57,49457,738116,816
D
+9.2%
63,74852,920118,054

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
20.8%
German
18.8%
Italian
14.2%
English
12.8%
Polish
4.4%
American
3.2%
Scottish
2.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.2%
speak English only
Spanish5.1%
Other Indo-European4.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.6%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
30.9%
Other Christian
7.6%
Mainline Protestant
5.4%
Methodist
3.1%
Non-Christian
2.8%
Baptist
1.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+32.2, this district anchors the GOP's strength in rural central Pennsylvania, where low population density and a predominantly white, working-class electorate have produced consistent double-digit Republican advantages for over a decade.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached seventeen points in 2020; the Republican margin reached zero points in 2012. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 253,375, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $127,208 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/42019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania voted Democratic by 14.5 points (D+14), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 150,295 votes cast, 85,230 went Democratic and 63,501 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 1 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania?
State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania has a population of 253,375 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania is $127,208 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 19, Pennsylvania from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 1 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.