akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 49·Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania 49th State Senate District delivered R+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A razor-thin presidential margin marks this district as one of Pennsylvania's true battlegrounds.

20082024·5 elections
PA
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
261,645
2024 ACS

Pennsylvania 49th State Senate District, Pennsylvania: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+20 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
261,6452024 5-year
Median household income
$63,3542024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
82.7%2024 5-year
Black
7.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+20 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+2 in 2016MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.0%
65,59966,970133,807
D
+1.0%
66,40665,028133,309
R
−1.6%
56,51258,415121,684
D
+16.0%
66,16347,675115,835
D
+19.8%
73,68948,965124,740

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.4%
Irish
13.2%
Italian
10.6%
Polish
10.1%
English
8.5%
American
3.9%
Scottish
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.1%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.1%
Spanish2.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.5%
Other Christian
6.9%
Mainline Protestant
4.3%
Methodist
4.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.2%
Baptist
1.8%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of just R+1.0 across roughly 262,000 residents, this district sits at the competitive edge where statewide outcomes are often shaped, drawing sustained attention from both parties.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty points in 2008; the Republican margin reached two points in 2016. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 261,645, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $63,354 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/42049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 1.0 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 133,807 votes cast, 65,599 went Democratic and 66,970 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 2 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania?
State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania has a population of 261,645 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania is $63,354 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 49, Pennsylvania from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 2 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.