akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 45·South Carolina

South Carolina 45th State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

A reliably Republican district anchored in South Carolina's Midlands region

20082024·5 elections
SC
Latest
R+7
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
107,547
2024 ACS

South Carolina 45th State Senate District, South Carolina: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+8 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+7MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
107,5472024 5-year
Median household income
$68,8942024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
57.0%2024 5-year
Black
30.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+8 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
5 counties · 2 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−7.3%
25,20329,21255,107
D
+0.9%
26,43325,96353,041
D
+1.4%
21,85721,22144,704
D
+4.9%
22,11120,02942,576
D
+8.4%
22,01618,55541,005

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
10.7%
German
9.2%
Irish
9.1%
American
7.1%
Italian
3.7%
Polish
1.4%
Scottish
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.7%
speak English only
Spanish8.0%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
13.7%
Other Christian
12.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.8%
Methodist
7.2%
Mainline Protestant
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+22.2 across roughly 108,000 residents, this Midlands-area district has shown consistent alignment with statewide Republican trends, making it one of the more predictable seats in the chamber.

The Democratic margin in South Carolina 45th State Senate District has rarely exceeded eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by seven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $68,894 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 45, South Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/45045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 45, South Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 45, South Carolina voted Republican by 7.3 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 55,107 votes cast, 25,203 went Democratic and 29,212 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 45, South Carolina's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 45, South Carolina as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 1 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 45, South Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 45, South Carolina voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 45, South Carolina?
State Senate District 45, South Carolina has a population of 107,547 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 45, South Carolina?
Median household income in State Senate District 45, South Carolina is $68,894 — below the national median of $80,734. The South Carolina state median is $69,324.
What is the political history of State Senate District 45, South Carolina?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 45, South Carolina from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 1 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.