akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 12·Texas

Texas 12th State Senate District delivered R+7 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Texas's most Republican-leaning state senate districts

20082024·5 elections
TX
Latest
R+7
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
960,904
2024 ACS

Texas 12th State Senate District, Texas: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Republican peak: R+15 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+7MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
960,9042024 5-year
Median household income
$94,6922024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
49.6%2024 5-year
Black
15.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
29.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+1 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+15 in 2012MIT Election Lab
4 counties · 1 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−7.2%
177,652205,525389,372
D
+1.0%
188,728185,072379,946
R
−6.5%
128,081146,954290,559
R
−14.7%
105,318142,414251,706
R
−9.9%
114,386139,696256,428

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
9.6%
German
8.9%
Irish
6.7%
American
4.1%
Italian
2.2%
Scottish
1.6%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
68.4%
speak English only
Spanish21.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.9%
Other Indo-European3.4%
Other languages1.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
13.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
13.3%
Other Christian
12.5%
Methodist
3.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Non-Christian
2.1%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+49.4, this district of nearly 1 million residents ranks among the most one-sided legislative constituencies in the state, leaving little competitive ground for statewide or local contests.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached one points in 2020; the Republican margin reached fifteen points in 2012. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 960,904, a 50% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $94,692 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 12, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/48012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 12, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 12, Texas voted Republican by 7.2 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 389,372 votes cast, 177,652 went Democratic and 205,525 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 12, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 12, Texas as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 1 times, Republican 4 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 12, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 12, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 12, Texas?
State Senate District 12, Texas has a population of 960,904 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 12, Texas?
Median household income in State Senate District 12, Texas is $94,692 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of State Senate District 12, Texas?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 12, Texas from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.