akashic
1876–2024
Essex Senatorial District·Vermont

Essex Senatorial District delivered R+2 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

Vermont's northeast corner, where presidential margins run against the state tide

20082024·5 elections
VT
Latest
R+2
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
22,247
2024 ACS

Essex Senatorial District, Vermont: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+2%. Democratic peak: D+23 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
22,2472024 5-year
Median household income
$67,2112024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
93.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+23 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+3 in 2016MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.7%
5,7225,93512,187
D
+3.1%
5,8425,47611,710
R
−2.8%
4,2194,50710,171
D
+20.7%
5,7993,7649,832
D
+22.7%
6,4594,02410,745

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
16.6%
Irish
13.5%
French
9.1%
American
7.2%
German
6.7%
Scottish
5.0%
Italian
4.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.3%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.9%
Spanish0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
16.1%
Other Christian
3.6%
Mainline Protestant
2.6%
Methodist
1.5%
Baptist
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 73.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Essex Senatorial District covers the state's remote Northeast Kingdom, a sparsely populated region of working forests and small towns where the 2024 presidential result ran nearly 10 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-three points in 2008; the Republican margin reached three points in 2016. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 22,247, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $67,211 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Essex Senatorial District, Vermont — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/50ESX/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Essex Senatorial District, Vermont vote in 2024?
In 2024, Essex Senatorial District, Vermont voted Republican by 1.7 points (R+2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,187 votes cast, 5,722 went Democratic and 5,935 went Republican.
What is Essex Senatorial District, Vermont's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Essex Senatorial District, Vermont as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 2 times, and other 0 times.
When did Essex Senatorial District, Vermont last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Essex Senatorial District, Vermont voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Essex Senatorial District, Vermont?
Essex Senatorial District, Vermont has a population of 22,247 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Essex Senatorial District, Vermont?
Median household income in Essex Senatorial District, Vermont is $67,211 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Essex Senatorial District, Vermont?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Essex Senatorial District, Vermont from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 2 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.