akashic
1876–2024
Orleans Senatorial District·Vermont

Orleans Senatorial District delivered D+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A rural Northeast Kingdom district that defies simple partisan sorting

20082024·5 elections
VT
Latest
D+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
22,103
2024 ACS

Orleans Senatorial District, Vermont: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+27 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
22,1032024 5-year
Median household income
$70,6802024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
93.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+27 in 2008MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 2 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+1.1%
5,7765,64011,856
D
+6.7%
5,8755,11811,362
D
+1.5%
4,2384,0949,726
D
+23.8%
5,7173,4789,420
D
+26.6%
6,3783,64610,258

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
15.0%
Irish
12.5%
French
8.3%
American
8.2%
German
7.6%
Scottish
4.2%
Italian
4.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.5%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.8%
Spanish0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
16.8%
Other Christian
3.7%
Mainline Protestant
3.1%
Methodist
1.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Baptist
0.8%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 72.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Orleans Senatorial District covers Vermont's remote Northeast Kingdom, where a D+3.6 presidential margin in 2024 reflects a broader pattern of ticket-splitting and independent-minded voters that resists easy categorization.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-seven points in 2008; Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 22,103, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,680 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Orleans Senatorial District, Vermont — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/50ORL/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Orleans Senatorial District, Vermont vote in 2024?
In 2024, Orleans Senatorial District, Vermont voted Democratic by 1.1 points (D+1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 11,856 votes cast, 5,776 went Democratic and 5,640 went Republican.
What is Orleans Senatorial District, Vermont's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Orleans Senatorial District, Vermont as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 0 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Orleans Senatorial District, Vermont?
Orleans Senatorial District, Vermont has a population of 22,103 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Orleans Senatorial District, Vermont?
Median household income in Orleans Senatorial District, Vermont is $70,680 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Orleans Senatorial District, Vermont?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Orleans Senatorial District, Vermont from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.