Virginia 4th State Senate District, Virginia: Tossup district. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Republican peak: R+4 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- TiedMIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 218,6272024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,1062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+4 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 4, VAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 52,769 | 52,252 | 106,440 | ||
| D | 53,556 | 51,290 | 107,117 | ||
| R | 44,201 | 47,885 | 98,315 | ||
| R | 47,450 | 48,494 | 98,169 | ||
| D | 49,728 | 47,695 | 98,595 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.0%
German
10.2%
American
10.1%
Irish
9.1%
Italian
2.6%
Scottish
2.4%
Polish
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$67,106
State Senate District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 4$67,106
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.1%
Working age (18–64)15.1%
Seniors (65+)11.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.4%
speak English only
Spanish4.5%
Other Indo-European2.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+48, this Northern Virginia district ranks among the most heavily Democratic state senate constituencies in the commonwealth, reflecting a dense, diverse urban electorate.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached two points in 2020; the Republican margin reached four points in 2016. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 218,627, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $67,106 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 4, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/51004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 4, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 4, Virginia voted a near-tie (Tied), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 106,440 votes cast, 52,769 went Democratic and 52,252 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 4, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 4, Virginia as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 2 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 4, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 4, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in State Senate District 4, Virginia?
State Senate District 4, Virginia has a population of 218,627 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 4, Virginia?
Median household income in State Senate District 4, Virginia is $67,106 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State Senate District 4, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 4, Virginia from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 2 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.