akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 19·Virginia

Virginia 19th State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

One of Virginia's most reliably red districts, anchored in the Shenandoah Valley

20082024·5 elections
VA
Latest
D+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
215,153
2024 ACS

Virginia 19th State Senate District, Virginia: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Democratic peak: D+6 in 2020.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
215,1532024 5-year
Median household income
$94,2462024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
57.8%2024 5-year
Black
24.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+6 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+2 in 2016MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 2 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+3.3%
55,10151,572108,031
D
+6.0%
55,98149,552107,811
R
−2.3%
43,93346,16595,850
R
−0.6%
45,75346,33493,428
D
+0.3%
46,28745,98493,131

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
11.6%
Irish
10.1%
German
10.0%
American
7.2%
Italian
4.9%
Polish
2.0%
Scottish
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.8%
speak English only
Spanish4.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.6%
Other Indo-European2.0%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
15.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
10.4%
Baptist
8.0%
Methodist
4.4%
Mainline Protestant
2.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+50.4, this district ranks among the most Republican-leaning in the state, reflecting a largely rural electorate shaped by agriculture, small towns, and Appalachian geography.

The Democratic margin in Virginia 19th State Senate District has rarely exceeded six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded two points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $94,246 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 19, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/51019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 19, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 19, Virginia voted Democratic by 3.3 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 108,031 votes cast, 55,101 went Democratic and 51,572 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 19, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 19, Virginia as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 2 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 19, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 19, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in State Senate District 19, Virginia?
State Senate District 19, Virginia has a population of 215,153 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 19, Virginia?
Median household income in State Senate District 19, Virginia is $94,246 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State Senate District 19, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 19, Virginia from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 2 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.