Virginia 19th State Senate District, Virginia: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Democratic peak: D+6 in 2020.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 215,1532024 5-year
- Median household income
- $94,2462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 24.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+6 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+2 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 55,101 | 51,572 | 108,031 | ||
| D | 55,981 | 49,552 | 107,811 | ||
| R | 43,933 | 46,165 | 95,850 | ||
| R | 45,753 | 46,334 | 93,428 | ||
| D | 46,287 | 45,984 | 93,131 |
Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+50.4, this district ranks among the most Republican-leaning in the state, reflecting a largely rural electorate shaped by agriculture, small towns, and Appalachian geography.
The Democratic margin in Virginia 19th State Senate District has rarely exceeded six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded two points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $94,246 — all within the broad national range.
State Senate District 19, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/51019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.