Virginia 27th State Senate District, Virginia: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+2%. Republican peak: R+7 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+2MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 213,3872024 5-year
- Median household income
- $124,8822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+4 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+7 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 54,833 | 52,564 | 109,019 | ||
| D | 53,264 | 48,617 | 104,169 | ||
| R | 37,860 | 43,557 | 86,911 | ||
| R | 38,022 | 41,742 | 81,096 | ||
| R | 35,786 | 37,307 | 73,822 |
Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+70.6, this district ranks among the most politically homogeneous in Virginia. Its population of roughly 213,000 suggests a predominantly rural geography where statewide competitive dynamics rarely apply.
The Democratic margin in Virginia 27th State Senate District has rarely exceeded four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by two points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a 6% poverty rate, and a median household income of $124,882 — all within the broad national range.
State Senate District 27, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/51027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.