Arkansas, Arkansas: Realigner state. In 2024, voted R+31%. Democratic peak: D+74 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,049,3912024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,7732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Arkansas, AROne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 396,905 | 759,241 | 1,182,676 | ||
| R | 423,932 | 760,647 | 1,219,069 | ||
| R | 380,494 | 684,872 | 1,095,195 | ||
| R | 394,409 | 647,744 | 1,069,468 | ||
| R | 422,310 | 638,017 | 1,086,617 | ||
| R | 469,953 | 572,898 | 1,054,945 | ||
| R | 422,768 | 472,940 | 921,781 | ||
| D | 475,171 | 325,416 | 884,262 | ||
| D | 505,823 | 337,324 | 950,653 | ||
| R | 349,237 | 466,578 | 827,738 | ||
| R | 338,646 | 534,774 | 884,406 | ||
| R | 398,041 | 403,164 | 837,582 | ||
| D | 499,614 | 268,753 | 769,396 | ||
| R | 198,899 | 445,751 | 647,666 | ||
| O | 188,228 | 190,759 | 619,969 | ||
| D | 314,197 | 243,264 | 560,426 | ||
| D | 215,049 | 184,508 | 428,509 | ||
| D | 213,277 | 186,287 | 406,572 | ||
| D | 226,300 | 177,155 | 404,800 | ||
| D | 149,659 | 50,959 | 242,475 | ||
| D | 148,965 | 63,551 | 212,954 | ||
| D | 157,213 | 42,122 | 200,429 | ||
| D | 146,765 | 32,049 | 179,431 | ||
| D | 189,529 | 27,465 | 219,269 | ||
| D | 119,196 | 77,784 | 197,726 | ||
| D | 84,790 | 40,583 | 138,540 | ||
| D | 106,682 | 71,948 | 183,771 | ||
| D | 112,282 | 47,135 | 159,417 | ||
| D | 68,876 | 24,675 | 123,036 | ||
| D | 87,520 | 56,624 | 152,335 | ||
| D | 64,434 | 46,760 | 116,358 | ||
| D | 81,242 | 44,800 | 127,966 | ||
| D | 110,103 | 37,512 | 149,396 | ||
| D | 87,834 | 46,983 | 148,028 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.3%
German
9.2%
Irish
8.9%
American
7.5%
Scottish
1.8%
French
1.4%
Italian
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,773
Arkansas ranks near the middle of US counties.
Arkansas$60,773
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1821.2%
Working age (18–64)14.7%
Seniors (65+)12.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.7%
speak English only
Spanish6.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other Indo-European0.8%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Arkansas sits in the Mid-South. Its political identity was forged in the union halls of the mid-twentieth century, when industrial labor and the Democratic party became, for working people, two faces of the same political fact. That identity held for 2 consecutive presidential elections.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Arkansas peaked at seventy-four points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2000 election delivered the state to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of five points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $60,773 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas, Arkansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/state/ar/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Arkansas, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas, Arkansas voted Republican by 30.6 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,182,676 votes cast, 396,905 went Democratic and 759,241 went Republican.
What is Arkansas, Arkansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Arkansas, Arkansas as a "Realigner" state based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 11 times, and other 1 times.
When did Arkansas, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Arkansas, Arkansas?
Arkansas, Arkansas has a population of 3,049,391 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas, Arkansas?
Median household income in Arkansas, Arkansas is $60,773 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The state's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.