Florida, Florida: Bellwether state. In 2024, voted R+13%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 22,416,0772024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,5682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Florida, FLOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,680,896 | 6,109,564 | 10,890,948 | ||
| R | 5,297,045 | 5,668,731 | 11,067,456 | ||
| R | 4,504,975 | 4,617,886 | 9,420,039 | ||
| D | 4,237,756 | 4,163,447 | 8,474,179 | ||
| D | 4,282,074 | 4,045,624 | 8,390,744 | ||
| R | 3,583,544 | 3,964,522 | 7,609,810 | ||
| R | 2,912,253 | 2,912,790 | 5,963,110 | ||
| D | 2,546,870 | 2,244,536 | 5,303,794 | ||
| R | 2,072,698 | 2,173,310 | 5,314,392 | ||
| R | 1,656,701 | 2,618,885 | 4,302,313 | ||
| R | 1,448,816 | 2,730,350 | 4,180,051 | ||
| R | 1,419,475 | 2,046,951 | 3,687,026 | ||
| D | 1,636,000 | 1,469,531 | 3,150,631 | ||
| R | 718,117 | 1,857,759 | 2,583,283 | ||
| R | 676,794 | 886,804 | 2,187,805 | ||
| D | 948,540 | 905,941 | 1,854,481 | ||
| R | 748,700 | 795,476 | 1,544,176 | ||
| R | 480,371 | 643,849 | 1,124,220 | ||
| R | 444,950 | 544,036 | 988,986 | ||
| D | 281,988 | 194,280 | 577,643 | ||
| D | 339,377 | 143,215 | 482,592 | ||
| D | 359,334 | 126,158 | 485,492 | ||
| D | 249,117 | 78,248 | 327,365 | ||
| D | 206,307 | 69,170 | 275,477 | ||
| R | 101,764 | 144,168 | 253,672 | ||
| D | 62,083 | 30,633 | 109,158 | ||
| D | 90,515 | 44,853 | 145,684 | ||
| D | 55,984 | 14,611 | 80,734 | ||
| D | 35,343 | 4,279 | 50,837 | ||
| D | 31,104 | 10,654 | 49,360 | ||
| D | 27,016 | 8,314 | 39,279 | ||
| D | 18,993 | 4,775 | 26,436 | ||
| D | 20,648 | 8,017 | 30,408 | ||
| D | 19,655 | 1,525 | 23,914 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 31,787 | 27,984 | 59,771 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
8.9%
English
8.2%
Irish
8.2%
American
7.7%
Italian
5.6%
Polish
2.0%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$74,568
Florida ranks near the middle of US counties.
Florida$74,568
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.6%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.5%
Working age (18–64)11.5%
Seniors (65+)13.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
69.3%
speak English only
Spanish22.6%
Other Indo-European5.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Florida in the Gulf South and peninsula has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Florida more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in Florida has rarely exceeded seventy-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-four points. 2024 delivered the state to the Republican candidate by thirteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most states. A 56% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $74,568 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Florida, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/state/fl/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Florida, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida, Florida voted Republican by 13.1 points (R+13), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,890,948 votes cast, 4,680,896 went Democratic and 6,109,564 went Republican.
What is Florida, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Florida, Florida as a "Bellwether" state based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.
When did Florida, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Florida, Florida voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Florida, Florida?
Florida, Florida has a population of 22,416,077 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida, Florida?
Median household income in Florida, Florida is $74,568 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Florida, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The state's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.