akashic
1876–2024
Kentucky·Kentucky

Kentucky has voted Republican in seven straight presidential cycles.

18762024·38 elections
KY
Latest
R+31
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
4,534,824
2024 ACS

Kentucky, Kentucky: Republican loyalist state. In 2024, voted R+31%. Republican peak: R+31 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+31MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
4,534,8242024 5-year
Median household income
$63,7262024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
82.6%2024 5-year
Black
7.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+28 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+31 in 2024MIT Election Lab
120 counties · 2 D · 118 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−30.5%
704,0431,337,4942,076,806
R
−25.9%
772,4741,326,6462,136,268
R
−29.8%
628,8541,202,9711,924,150
R
−22.7%
679,3701,087,1901,798,048
R
−16.2%
751,9851,048,4621,826,508
R
−19.9%
712,7331,069,4391,796,079
R
−15.1%
638,898872,4921,544,187
D
+1.0%
636,614623,2831,388,708
D
+3.2%
665,104617,1781,492,900
R
−11.6%
580,368734,2811,322,517
R
−20.7%
539,589822,7821,370,461
R
−1.5%
616,417635,2741,294,627
D
+7.2%
615,717531,8521,167,142
R
−28.6%
371,159676,4461,067,499
R
−6.1%
397,541462,4111,055,893
D
+28.4%
669,659372,9771,046,105
R
−7.2%
521,855602,6071,124,462
R
−9.1%
476,453572,1921,053,805
D
+0.1%
495,729495,029993,148
D
+15.3%
466,756341,210822,658
D
+9.2%
472,589392,448867,921
D
+15.1%
557,322410,384970,163
D
+18.6%
541,944369,702926,219
D
+18.9%
580,574394,716983,063
R
−18.9%
381,070558,734941,286
R
−2.9%
375,642399,656816,790
D
+0.4%
456,497452,480918,636
D
+5.4%
269,990241,791519,551
D
+23.2%
219,584115,516448,330
D
+1.7%
244,092235,711490,760
D
+2.7%
217,250205,277435,855
D
+1.7%
235,123227,128468,253
R
−0.1%
217,894218,171445,928
D
+11.7%
175,465135,467340,871
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.5%
German
12.7%
American
11.5%
Irish
11.0%
Italian
2.0%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.2%
speak English only
Spanish3.4%
Other Indo-European1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
22.5%
Other Christian
9.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
8.0%
Methodist
4.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
2.2%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Kentucky sits in the Border South. Its political identity has been Republican for as long as anyone now living can remember. 2 consecutive presidential elections in modern records have gone for the Republican candidate, often by margins that would be considered landslide territory anywhere else.

The Republican margin in Kentucky reached its widest at thirty-one points in 2024. The margin in 2024 was thirty-one points, in line with the state's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $63,726, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 4,534,824 together describe a state whose political habits are deeply settled.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kentucky, Kentucky — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/state/ky/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Kentucky, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kentucky, Kentucky voted Republican by 30.5 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,076,806 votes cast, 704,043 went Democratic and 1,337,494 went Republican.
What is Kentucky, Kentucky's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Kentucky, Kentucky as a "Republican loyalist" state based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Kentucky, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kentucky, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Kentucky, Kentucky?
Kentucky, Kentucky has a population of 4,534,824 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kentucky, Kentucky?
Median household income in Kentucky, Kentucky is $63,726 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Kentucky, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kentucky, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The state's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.