Kentucky, Kentucky: Republican loyalist state. In 2024, voted R+31%. Republican peak: R+31 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Republican loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 4,534,8242024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,7262024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 704,043 | 1,337,494 | 2,076,806 | ||
| R | 772,474 | 1,326,646 | 2,136,268 | ||
| R | 628,854 | 1,202,971 | 1,924,150 | ||
| R | 679,370 | 1,087,190 | 1,798,048 | ||
| R | 751,985 | 1,048,462 | 1,826,508 | ||
| R | 712,733 | 1,069,439 | 1,796,079 | ||
| R | 638,898 | 872,492 | 1,544,187 | ||
| D | 636,614 | 623,283 | 1,388,708 | ||
| D | 665,104 | 617,178 | 1,492,900 | ||
| R | 580,368 | 734,281 | 1,322,517 | ||
| R | 539,589 | 822,782 | 1,370,461 | ||
| R | 616,417 | 635,274 | 1,294,627 | ||
| D | 615,717 | 531,852 | 1,167,142 | ||
| R | 371,159 | 676,446 | 1,067,499 | ||
| R | 397,541 | 462,411 | 1,055,893 | ||
| D | 669,659 | 372,977 | 1,046,105 | ||
| R | 521,855 | 602,607 | 1,124,462 | ||
| R | 476,453 | 572,192 | 1,053,805 | ||
| D | 495,729 | 495,029 | 993,148 | ||
| D | 466,756 | 341,210 | 822,658 | ||
| D | 472,589 | 392,448 | 867,921 | ||
| D | 557,322 | 410,384 | 970,163 | ||
| D | 541,944 | 369,702 | 926,219 | ||
| D | 580,574 | 394,716 | 983,063 | ||
| R | 381,070 | 558,734 | 941,286 | ||
| R | 375,642 | 399,656 | 816,790 | ||
| D | 456,497 | 452,480 | 918,636 | ||
| D | 269,990 | 241,791 | 519,551 | ||
| D | 219,584 | 115,516 | 448,330 | ||
| D | 244,092 | 235,711 | 490,760 | ||
| D | 217,250 | 205,277 | 435,855 | ||
| D | 235,123 | 227,128 | 468,253 | ||
| R | 217,894 | 218,171 | 445,928 | ||
| D | 175,465 | 135,467 | 340,871 | ||
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Demographics
Kentucky sits in the Border South. Its political identity has been Republican for as long as anyone now living can remember. 2 consecutive presidential elections in modern records have gone for the Republican candidate, often by margins that would be considered landslide territory anywhere else.
The Republican margin in Kentucky reached its widest at thirty-one points in 2024. The margin in 2024 was thirty-one points, in line with the state's deep historical pattern.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $63,726, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 4,534,824 together describe a state whose political habits are deeply settled.
Kentucky, Kentucky — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/state/ky/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.