akashic
1876–2024
Michigan·Michigan

Michigan delivered R+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

18762024·38 elections
MI
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
10,077,761
2024 ACS

Michigan, Michigan: Tossup state. In 2024, voted R+1%. Republican peak: R+62 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
10,077,7612024 5-year
Median household income
$72,8752024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
73.7%2024 5-year
Black
13.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+34 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+62 in 1924MIT Election Lab
83 counties · 9 D · 74 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.4%
2,736,5302,816,6365,674,449
D
+2.8%
2,804,0402,649,8525,539,302
R
−0.2%
2,268,8392,279,5434,824,542
D
+9.5%
2,564,5692,115,2564,745,316
D
+16.5%
2,872,5792,048,6395,001,766
D
+3.4%
2,479,1832,313,7464,839,252
D
+5.1%
2,170,4181,953,1394,232,711
D
+13.2%
1,989,6531,481,2123,848,844
D
+7.4%
1,871,1821,554,9404,274,673
R
−7.9%
1,675,7831,965,4863,669,163
R
−19.0%
1,529,6382,251,5713,801,658
R
−6.5%
1,661,5321,915,2253,909,725
R
−5.4%
1,696,7141,893,7423,653,749
R
−14.4%
1,459,4351,961,7213,490,325
D
+6.7%
1,593,0821,370,6653,306,250
D
+33.6%
2,136,6151,060,1523,203,102
D
+2.0%
1,687,2691,620,4283,318,097
R
−11.5%
1,359,8981,713,6473,080,468
R
−11.5%
1,230,6571,551,5292,798,592
R
−1.7%
1,003,4481,038,5952,109,609
D
+1.0%
1,106,8991,084,4232,205,223
R
−0.3%
1,032,9911,039,9172,085,929
D
+17.6%
1,016,794699,7331,805,098
D
+7.9%
871,701739,8941,664,766
R
−41.4%
396,762965,3961,372,082
R
−62.2%
152,359874,6311,160,419
R
−50.6%
231,046755,9411,037,981
R
−8.3%
283,993337,952646,873
O
−0.2%
150,201151,434547,971
R
−29.5%
174,619333,313538,135
R
−43.8%
134,163361,863520,443
R
−19.2%
211,432316,014543,789
R
−10.3%
237,164293,338545,585
R
−4.5%
201,729222,708466,246
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.7%
English
10.5%
Irish
9.9%
Polish
7.2%
American
4.3%
Italian
4.2%
French
2.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.6%
speak English only
Spanish3.1%
Other Indo-European3.1%
Other languages2.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
15.2%
Other Christian
7.7%
Mainline Protestant
5.4%
Baptist
3.2%
Non-Christian
3.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.8%
Methodist
2.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Michigan in the Great Lakes delivered a near-tie in 2024, with the Republican candidate carrying the state by one points — well within the historical noise of how the state votes.

The state's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty-four points in 1964; the Republican margin reached sixty-two points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 10,077,761, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $72,875 — situate the state close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Michigan, Michigan — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/state/mi/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Michigan, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Michigan, Michigan voted Republican by 1.4 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,674,449 votes cast, 2,736,530 went Democratic and 2,816,636 went Republican.
What is Michigan, Michigan's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Michigan, Michigan as a "Tossup" state based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 20 times, and other 1 times.
When did Michigan, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Michigan, Michigan voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Michigan, Michigan?
Michigan, Michigan has a population of 10,077,761 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Michigan, Michigan?
Median household income in Michigan, Michigan is $72,875 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Michigan, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Michigan, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The state's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.