Minnesota — Elections 1876–2024

Minnesota, Minnesota: Tossup state. In 2024, voted D+4%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+4MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: TossupAkashic typology
Population: 5,739,4452024 5-year
Median household income: $89,0622024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 77.1%2024 5-year
Black: 7.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 6.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+31 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+55 in 1904MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

87 counties · 9 D · 78 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+4.2%	1,656,971	1,519,020	3,253,886
2020	D	+7.1%	1,717,077	1,484,065	3,277,171
2016	D	+1.5%	1,367,825	1,323,232	2,945,233
2012	D	+7.7%	1,546,167	1,320,225	2,936,561
2008	D	+10.2%	1,573,354	1,275,409	2,910,370
2004	D	+3.5%	1,445,014	1,346,695	2,828,387
2000	D	+2.4%	1,168,266	1,109,659	2,438,685
1996	D	+16.1%	1,120,438	766,476	2,192,640
1992	D	+11.6%	1,020,997	747,841	2,347,948
1988	D	+7.0%	1,109,471	962,337	2,093,176
1984	D	+0.2%	1,036,364	1,032,603	2,083,726
1980	D	+3.9%	954,174	873,241	2,051,672
1976	D	+12.9%	1,070,440	819,395	1,949,589
1972	R	−5.5%	802,346	898,269	1,741,652
1968	D	+12.5%	857,738	658,643	1,588,506
1964	D	+27.8%	991,117	559,624	1,554,462
1960	D	+1.4%	779,933	757,915	1,541,887
1956	R	−7.6%	617,525	719,302	1,340,005
1952	R	−11.2%	608,458	763,211	1,379,483
1948	D	+17.3%	692,966	483,617	1,212,226
1944	D	+5.5%	589,864	527,416	1,125,504
1940	D	+3.8%	644,196	596,274	1,251,188
1936	D	+30.8%	698,811	350,461	1,129,975
1932	D	+23.6%	600,806	363,959	1,002,843
1928	R	−16.9%	396,451	560,977	970,976
1924	R	−44.4%	55,913	420,759	822,146
1920	R	−51.2%	142,994	519,421	735,838
1916	R	−0.1%	179,185	179,544	387,397
1912	O	+12.6%	106,426	64,334	334,219
1908	R	−26.2%	109,401	195,842	330,253
1904	R	−55.1%	55,187	216,651	292,860
1900	R	−24.5%	112,901	190,461	316,311
1896	R	−15.7%	139,735	193,503	341,762
1892	D	+8.3%	122,736	100,589	267,841
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

29.2%

Irish

9.9%

English

6.6%

Polish

3.8%

American

3.3%

French

2.6%

Italian

2.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 39.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.3%

2.2%

75–84

2.7%

5.0%

65–74

5.2%

6.4%

55–64

6.5%

5.9%

45–54

5.7%

6.9%

35–44

6.6%

6.7%

25–34

6.4%

4.5%

18–24

4.3%

8.7%

5–17

8.3%

3.0%

2.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$89,062

Minnesota ranks near the middle of US counties.

Minnesota$89,062

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

9.3%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1810.4%

Working age (18–64)8.9%

Seniors (65+)10.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

87.5%

speak English only

Spanish4.2%

Asian & Pacific Islander3.4%

Other languages2.9%

Other Indo-European1.9%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

19.7%

Mainline Protestant

16.9%

Other Christian

5.7%

Non-Christian

2.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.4%

Methodist

1.3%

Baptist

0.5%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Minnesota in the Upper Midwest delivered a near-tie in 2024, with the Democratic candidate carrying the state by four points — well within the historical noise of how the state votes.

The state's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty-one points in 1936; the Republican margin reached fifty-five points in 1904. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 5,739,445, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $89,062 — situate the state close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Minnesota, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/state/mn/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Minnesota, Minnesota vote in 2024?

In 2024, Minnesota, Minnesota voted Democratic by 4.2 points (D+4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,253,886 votes cast, 1,656,971 went Democratic and 1,519,020 went Republican.

What is Minnesota, Minnesota's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Minnesota, Minnesota as a "Tossup" state based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 11 times, and other 1 times.

When did Minnesota, Minnesota last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota, Minnesota voted Republican was 1972.

How many people live in Minnesota, Minnesota?

Minnesota, Minnesota has a population of 5,739,445 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Minnesota, Minnesota?

Median household income in Minnesota, Minnesota is $89,062 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.

What is the political history of Minnesota, Minnesota?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minnesota, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The state's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Minnesota delivered D+4 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions