akashic
1876–2024
North Carolina·North Carolina

North Carolina votes the way the country votes.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NC
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
10,730,404
2024 ACS

North Carolina, North Carolina: Bellwether state. In 2024, voted R+3%. Democratic peak: D+48 in 1940.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
10,730,4042024 5-year
Median household income
$72,3882024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
61.8%2024 5-year
Black
20.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+48 in 1940MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+41 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
100 counties · 22 D · 78 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−3.2%
2,715,3822,898,4295,699,155
R
−1.3%
2,684,2922,758,7755,524,804
R
−3.7%
2,189,3162,362,6314,741,564
R
−2.0%
2,178,3912,270,3954,505,372
D
+0.3%
2,142,6512,128,4744,310,789
R
−12.4%
1,525,8491,961,1663,501,007
D
+12.8%
1,631,1631,257,6922,911,262
R
−4.7%
1,107,8491,225,9382,515,807
R
−0.8%
1,114,0421,134,6612,611,850
R
−16.3%
890,1671,237,2582,134,370
R
−24.0%
824,2871,346,4812,175,361
R
−2.1%
875,635915,0181,855,833
D
+11.0%
927,365741,9601,677,906
R
−40.6%
438,7051,054,8891,518,612
R
−10.3%
464,113627,1921,587,493
D
+12.3%
800,139624,8441,424,983
D
+4.2%
713,136655,4201,368,556
D
+1.3%
590,530575,0621,165,592
D
+7.8%
652,803558,1171,210,920
D
+25.3%
459,070258,572791,209
D
+33.4%
527,399263,155790,554
D
+48.1%
609,015213,633822,648
D
+46.8%
616,141223,294839,435
D
+40.6%
497,566208,344711,498
R
−9.9%
286,227348,923635,150
D
+19.4%
284,190190,754481,595
D
+13.5%
305,367232,819538,186
D
+16.4%
168,383120,890289,835
D
+47.3%
144,40729,129243,809
D
+8.7%
136,928114,888252,542
D
+20.1%
124,12182,442207,844
D
+8.5%
157,733132,997292,518
D
+5.8%
174,408155,122331,337
D
+11.6%
132,950100,326280,527
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.7%
German
9.4%
Irish
8.4%
American
8.3%
Italian
3.3%
Scottish
2.3%
Polish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.1%
2.2%
75–84
2.9%
4.8%
65–74
5.6%
6.2%
55–64
6.6%
6.2%
45–54
6.4%
6.3%
35–44
6.5%
6.7%
25–34
6.8%
4.9%
18–24
4.6%
8.3%
5–17
7.9%
2.9%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,388
North Carolina ranks near the middle of US counties.
North Carolina$72,388
North Carolina$72,388
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.7%
Working age (18–64)11.8%
Seniors (65+)11.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.5%
speak English only
Spanish8.7%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
15.1%
Other Christian
13.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.1%
Methodist
7.2%
Mainline Protestant
3.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Non-Christian
1.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

North Carolina in the Carolinas has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries North Carolina more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in North Carolina has rarely exceeded forty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-one points. 2024 delivered the state to the Republican candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most states. A 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $72,388 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Carolina, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/state/nc/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in North Carolina
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Old Confederacy
Alexander County
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Alleghany County
Populist
Anson County
Democratic loyalist
Ashe County
Populist
Avery County
Realigner

Frequently asked questions

How did North Carolina, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Carolina, North Carolina voted Republican by 3.2 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,699,155 votes cast, 2,715,382 went Democratic and 2,898,429 went Republican.
What is North Carolina, North Carolina's political archetype?
Akashic classifies North Carolina, North Carolina as a "Bellwether" state based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did North Carolina, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which North Carolina, North Carolina voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in North Carolina, North Carolina?
North Carolina, North Carolina has a population of 10,730,404 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Carolina, North Carolina?
Median household income in North Carolina, North Carolina is $72,388 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of North Carolina, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in North Carolina, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The state's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.