New Hampshire, New Hampshire: Bellwether state. In 2024, voted D+3%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,394,8682024 5-year
- Median household income
- $99,0312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1896MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 418,496 | 395,531 | 826,205 | ||
| D | 424,937 | 365,660 | 806,205 | ||
| D | 348,526 | 345,790 | 744,296 | ||
| D | 369,561 | 329,918 | 710,972 | ||
| D | 384,826 | 316,534 | 707,611 | ||
| D | 340,511 | 331,237 | 677,558 | ||
| R | 266,348 | 273,559 | 569,081 | ||
| D | 248,234 | 196,532 | 501,195 | ||
| D | 209,040 | 202,484 | 537,215 | ||
| R | 163,696 | 281,537 | 450,525 | ||
| R | 120,395 | 267,051 | 388,954 | ||
| R | 108,864 | 221,705 | 383,931 | ||
| R | 147,635 | 185,935 | 339,168 | ||
| R | 116,435 | 213,724 | 334,059 | ||
| R | 130,589 | 154,903 | 297,299 | ||
| D | 184,064 | 104,029 | 288,093 | ||
| R | 137,772 | 157,989 | 295,761 | ||
| R | 90,364 | 176,519 | 266,994 | ||
| R | 106,663 | 166,287 | 272,950 | ||
| R | 107,995 | 121,299 | 231,440 | ||
| D | 119,663 | 109,916 | 229,627 | ||
| D | 125,292 | 110,127 | 235,419 | ||
| D | 108,460 | 104,642 | 218,114 | ||
| R | 100,680 | 103,629 | 205,520 | ||
| R | 80,715 | 115,404 | 196,757 | ||
| R | 57,201 | 98,575 | 164,769 | ||
| R | 62,662 | 95,196 | 159,092 | ||
| D | 43,781 | 43,725 | 89,127 | ||
| D | 34,724 | 32,927 | 87,961 | ||
| R | 33,655 | 53,149 | 89,600 | ||
| R | 34,074 | 54,163 | 90,161 | ||
| R | 35,489 | 54,799 | 92,364 | ||
| R | 21,650 | 57,444 | 83,670 | ||
| R | 42,081 | 45,658 | 89,329 | ||
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Demographics
New Hampshire in New England has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries New Hampshire more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in New Hampshire has rarely exceeded twenty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-three points. 2024 delivered the state to the Democratic candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most states. A 88% non-Hispanic-white share, a 7% poverty rate, and a median household income of $99,031 — all within the broad national range.
New Hampshire, New Hampshire — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/state/nh/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.