akashic
1876–2024
Ohio·Ohio

Ohio delivered R+11 in 2024.

18762024·38 elections
OH
Latest
R+11
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
11,810,293
2024 ACS

Ohio, Ohio: Bellwether state. In 2024, voted R+11%. Republican peak: R+35 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+11MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
11,810,2932024 5-year
Median household income
$71,3892024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
76.8%2024 5-year
Black
12.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+26 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+35 in 1924MIT Election Lab
88 counties · 7 D · 81 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.1%
2,533,7003,180,1175,799,829
R
−8.0%
2,679,1653,154,8345,922,202
R
−8.0%
2,394,1642,841,0055,607,641
D
+3.0%
2,827,7092,661,4395,634,017
D
+4.6%
2,940,0442,677,8205,721,831
R
−2.1%
2,741,1672,859,7685,627,908
R
−3.5%
2,186,1902,351,2094,705,457
D
+6.4%
2,148,2221,859,8834,534,434
D
+1.8%
1,984,9421,894,3104,939,964
R
−10.9%
1,939,6292,416,5494,393,699
R
−18.8%
1,825,4402,678,5594,547,619
R
−10.6%
1,752,4142,206,5454,283,603
D
+0.3%
2,011,6212,000,5054,111,874
R
−21.6%
1,558,8892,441,8274,094,787
R
−2.3%
1,700,5861,791,0143,959,698
D
+25.9%
2,498,3311,470,8653,969,196
R
−6.6%
1,944,2482,217,6114,161,859
R
−22.2%
1,439,6552,262,6103,702,265
R
−13.5%
1,600,3672,100,3913,700,758
D
+0.2%
1,452,7911,445,6842,936,071
R
−0.4%
1,570,7631,582,2933,153,056
D
+4.4%
1,733,1391,586,7733,319,912
D
+20.6%
1,747,1401,127,8553,012,458
D
+2.8%
1,301,6951,227,3192,609,728
R
−30.4%
864,2101,627,5462,508,346
R
−34.6%
477,8881,176,1302,016,237
R
−19.9%
780,0371,182,0222,021,653
D
+7.7%
604,161514,7531,165,086
D
+14.1%
424,834278,1681,037,114
R
−6.2%
502,721572,3121,121,552
R
−25.4%
344,674600,0951,004,393
R
−6.6%
474,882543,9181,040,073
R
−4.8%
477,497525,9911,014,295
R
−0.1%
404,115405,187850,164
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.3%
Irish
12.3%
English
11.0%
Italian
5.8%
American
5.6%
Polish
3.0%
Scottish
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.0%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.9%
Spanish2.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
16.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
15.8%
Mainline Protestant
4.1%
Baptist
3.6%
Methodist
3.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.7%
Non-Christian
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Ohio in the Industrial Midwest has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Ohio more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Ohio has rarely exceeded twenty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-five points. 2024 delivered the state to the Republican candidate by eleven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most states. A 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $71,389 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ohio, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/state/oh/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Ohio, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ohio, Ohio voted Republican by 11.1 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,799,829 votes cast, 2,533,700 went Democratic and 3,180,117 went Republican.
What is Ohio, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Ohio, Ohio as a "Bellwether" state based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did Ohio, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ohio, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Ohio, Ohio?
Ohio, Ohio has a population of 11,810,293 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ohio, Ohio?
Median household income in Ohio, Ohio is $71,389 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Ohio, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ohio, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The state's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.