akashic
1876–2024
Wisconsin·Wisconsin

Wisconsin delivered R+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
WI
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
5,914,872
2024 ACS

Wisconsin, Wisconsin: Tossup state. In 2024, voted R+1%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
5,914,8722024 5-year
Median household income
$77,4852024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
80.1%2024 5-year
Black
6.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+34 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+55 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
72 counties · 13 D · 59 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−0.9%
1,668,2291,697,6263,422,918
D
+0.6%
1,630,8661,610,1843,298,041
R
−0.8%
1,382,5361,405,2842,976,150
D
+6.9%
1,620,9851,407,9663,068,434
D
+13.9%
1,676,7611,262,3932,982,967
D
+0.4%
1,489,5041,478,1202,997,007
D
+0.2%
1,242,9871,237,2792,598,607
D
+10.3%
1,071,971845,0292,196,169
D
+4.4%
1,041,066930,8552,531,114
D
+3.6%
1,126,7941,047,4992,189,335
R
−9.2%
995,8431,199,5852,212,091
R
−4.7%
981,5841,088,8452,271,884
D
+1.7%
1,040,2321,004,9872,101,336
R
−9.7%
810,174989,4301,851,997
R
−3.6%
748,804809,9971,689,196
D
+24.3%
1,050,424638,4951,691,815
R
−3.7%
830,805895,1751,729,082
R
−23.7%
586,768954,8441,550,558
R
−22.2%
622,175979,7441,607,370
D
+4.4%
647,310590,9591,276,800
R
−1.8%
650,413674,5321,339,152
D
+1.8%
704,821679,2061,405,522
D
+33.5%
802,984380,8281,258,560
D
+32.3%
707,410347,7411,114,801
R
−9.2%
450,259544,2051,016,831
O
−29.0%
68,115311,614840,827
R
−54.9%
113,418498,676701,377
R
−6.6%
191,363220,822447,134
D
+8.4%
164,230130,596399,975
R
−17.8%
166,662247,744454,438
R
−35.2%
124,205280,315443,441
R
−24.1%
159,163265,760442,501
R
−22.9%
165,523268,135447,409
D
+1.7%
177,325171,101371,481
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
35.8%
Irish
10.4%
Polish
7.6%
English
6.7%
Italian
3.4%
American
3.4%
French
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.3%
2.4%
75–84
2.8%
5.5%
65–74
5.7%
6.9%
55–64
6.9%
6.0%
45–54
5.8%
6.4%
35–44
6.2%
6.4%
25–34
6.2%
4.7%
18–24
4.6%
8.2%
5–17
7.8%
2.7%
<5
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$77,485
Wisconsin ranks near the middle of US counties.
Wisconsin$77,485
Wisconsin$77,485
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.6%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.6%
Working age (18–64)9.9%
Seniors (65+)10.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.9%
speak English only
Spanish5.0%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.2%
Mainline Protestant
14.0%
Other Christian
7.1%
Non-Christian
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Methodist
1.3%
Baptist
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Wisconsin in the Upper Midwest delivered a near-tie in 2024, with the Republican candidate carrying the state by one points — well within the historical noise of how the state votes.

The state's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty-four points in 1936; the Republican margin reached fifty-five points in 1920. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 5,914,872, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $77,485 — situate the state close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wisconsin, Wisconsin — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/state/wi/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Wisconsin
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Tossup
Ashland County
Democratic loyalist
Barron County
Republican loyalist
Bayfield County
Democratic loyalist
Brown County
Bellwether
Buffalo County
Republican loyalist

Frequently asked questions

How did Wisconsin, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wisconsin, Wisconsin voted Republican by 0.9 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,422,918 votes cast, 1,668,229 went Democratic and 1,697,626 went Republican.
What is Wisconsin, Wisconsin's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Wisconsin, Wisconsin as a "Tossup" state based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 17 times, and other 1 times.
When did Wisconsin, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wisconsin, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Wisconsin, Wisconsin?
Wisconsin, Wisconsin has a population of 5,914,872 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wisconsin, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Wisconsin, Wisconsin is $77,485 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Wisconsin, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wisconsin, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The state's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.