akashic
1876–2024
Arcadia, FL·Florida

Arcadia, FL has voted Republican in twelve straight presidential cycles.

A small citrus-belt metro where Latino voter registration has surged past 40%

1876 — 2024·38 elections
FL
Latest
R+43
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
35,386
2024 ACS

Arcadia, FL, Florida: Republican loyalist metro. In 2024, voted R+43%. Democratic peak: D+59 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+43MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
35,3862024 5-year
Median household income
$54,4172024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
60.8%2024 5-year
Black
12.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
30.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+59 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+55 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−42.9%
3,5258,88812,488
R
−32.0%
4,2598,31312,659
R
−27.7%
3,7816,77810,818
R
−14.3%
4,1745,5879,865
R
−12.3%
4,3835,63210,131
R
−16.9%
3,9135,5249,510
R
−12.0%
3,3214,2567,812
R
−0.7%
3,2223,2757,492
R
−5.7%
2,6463,0707,429
R
−31.9%
2,1814,2436,464
R
−35.3%
2,3044,8227,129
R
−10.2%
2,7133,3566,285
D
+14.8%
2,7152,0004,822
R
−55.2%
8522,9583,813
O
−4.1%
9371,1034,094
R
−5.6%
1,7771,9863,763
R
−0.2%
1,6801,6873,367
D
+3.2%
1,3151,2342,549
D
+17.6%
1,7921,2563,048
D
+28.2%
1,1575692,082
D
+52.1%
1,7225432,265
D
+56.4%
1,8885262,414
D
+48.0%
1,5945602,154
D
+52.5%
1,6245062,130
R
−29.4%
7481,3822,158
D
+44.9%
641230915
D
+36.9%
2,4961,0773,844
D
+53.2%
1,7553852,576
D
+58.5%
8471101,259
D
+52.1%
9922441,437
D
+52.5%
7211881,016
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
9.3%
German
7.4%
American
7.3%
Irish
7.2%
Italian
2.4%
French
2.4%
Scottish
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.1%
85+
1.5%
4.4%
75–84
3.9%
6.3%
65–74
6.6%
6.3%
55–64
5.8%
7.7%
45–54
4.5%
7.9%
35–44
5.0%
8.4%
25–34
4.7%
4.8%
18–24
3.2%
6.9%
5–17
6.0%
1.3%
<5
3.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$54,417
Arcadia, FL ranks near the middle of US counties.
Arcadia, FL$54,417
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
24.1%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1834.8%
Working age (18–64)22.9%
Seniors (65+)13.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
77.6%
speak English only
Spanish19.8%
Other Indo-European2.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
12.9%
Other Christian
6.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.6%
Methodist
5.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

DeSoto County's agricultural economy anchors Arcadia's working-class electorate, and rapid growth in Hispanic residents — many tied to cattle ranching and orange groves — has reshaped registration patterns faster than statewide trends suggest.

The Republican margin in Arcadia, FL reached its widest at fifty-five points in 1972. The margin in 2024 was forty-three points, in line with the metro's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $54,417, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 35,386 together describe a metro whose political habits are deeply settled.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arcadia, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/11580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Arcadia, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arcadia, FL, Florida voted Republican by 42.9 points (R+43), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,488 votes cast, 3,525 went Democratic and 8,888 went Republican.
What is Arcadia, FL, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Arcadia, FL, Florida as a "Republican loyalist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 16 times, and other 1 times.
When did Arcadia, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arcadia, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Arcadia, FL, Florida?
Arcadia, FL, Florida has a population of 35,386 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arcadia, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Arcadia, FL, Florida is $54,417 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Arcadia, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arcadia, FL, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.