Auburn, NY, New York: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+13%. Republican peak: R+44 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 75,1022024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,9042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1956MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 15,772 | 20,482 | 36,517 | ||
| R | 16,359 | 19,632 | 36,754 | ||
| R | 13,522 | 17,384 | 33,172 | ||
| D | 17,007 | 13,454 | 31,161 | ||
| D | 18,128 | 15,243 | 34,022 | ||
| R | 17,534 | 17,743 | 36,052 | ||
| D | 17,031 | 14,988 | 33,978 | ||
| D | 15,879 | 11,093 | 31,894 | ||
| D | 13,088 | 12,065 | 35,671 | ||
| R | 15,044 | 16,934 | 32,285 | ||
| R | 12,207 | 21,451 | 33,779 | ||
| R | 11,708 | 17,945 | 32,756 | ||
| R | 13,348 | 19,775 | 33,343 | ||
| R | 11,097 | 22,774 | 33,952 | ||
| R | 14,604 | 16,167 | 32,666 | ||
| D | 24,090 | 11,453 | 35,566 | ||
| R | 17,257 | 20,437 | 37,722 | ||
| R | 10,268 | 26,503 | 36,771 | ||
| R | 11,695 | 25,037 | 36,804 | ||
| R | 14,317 | 19,017 | 33,747 | ||
| R | 13,849 | 18,680 | 32,629 | ||
| R | 13,985 | 21,032 | 35,173 | ||
| R | 12,158 | 20,203 | 33,200 | ||
| R | 12,989 | 17,280 | 31,043 | ||
| R | 11,787 | 20,202 | 32,525 | ||
| R | 7,369 | 17,252 | 27,100 | ||
| R | 6,343 | 15,234 | 22,510 | ||
| R | 6,391 | 7,831 | 14,689 | ||
| R | 4,691 | 5,788 | 13,777 | ||
| R | 5,789 | 9,699 | 16,624 | ||
| R | 5,707 | 10,708 | 17,028 | ||
| R | 6,330 | 10,328 | 17,217 | ||
| R | 5,846 | 10,024 | 16,330 | ||
| R | 5,999 | 8,341 | 15,461 | ||
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Demographics
Auburn anchors Cayuga County, a historically Democratic manufacturing region that has trended Republican in recent cycles, with Cayuga Community College adding a modest but measurable younger-voter cohort to an otherwise older, working-class electorate.
The Democratic margin in Auburn, NY peaked at thirty-six points in 1964. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,904 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Auburn, NY, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/12180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.