Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 126,8082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,0772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 34,585 | 36,589 | 72,886 | ||
| D | 34,902 | 34,721 | 72,615 | ||
| R | 29,302 | 31,675 | 66,208 | ||
| D | 35,068 | 26,519 | 63,497 | ||
| D | 37,238 | 27,482 | 65,986 | ||
| D | 35,616 | 29,761 | 66,772 | ||
| D | 31,198 | 23,967 | 58,907 | ||
| D | 30,257 | 15,403 | 55,654 | ||
| D | 25,125 | 17,135 | 63,921 | ||
| R | 23,578 | 27,734 | 51,745 | ||
| R | 21,183 | 31,753 | 53,191 | ||
| R | 20,943 | 21,517 | 49,077 | ||
| D | 23,473 | 22,534 | 47,407 | ||
| R | 16,379 | 24,617 | 41,035 | ||
| D | 21,752 | 16,009 | 38,292 | ||
| D | 24,813 | 11,307 | 36,143 | ||
| R | 18,252 | 21,699 | 39,951 | ||
| R | 11,483 | 23,028 | 34,511 | ||
| R | 12,113 | 21,207 | 33,351 | ||
| R | 11,163 | 13,923 | 25,260 | ||
| R | 14,070 | 14,335 | 28,430 | ||
| D | 15,861 | 14,877 | 30,765 | ||
| R | 11,268 | 14,987 | 27,081 | ||
| R | 12,110 | 14,451 | 26,797 | ||
| R | 8,226 | 15,541 | 23,859 | ||
| R | 4,184 | 13,122 | 18,159 | ||
| R | 5,466 | 12,333 | 17,973 | ||
| R | 5,527 | 6,731 | 12,531 | ||
| O | 4,397 | 1,782 | 11,726 | ||
| R | 2,871 | 6,133 | 9,294 | ||
| R | 2,333 | 5,765 | 8,394 | ||
| R | 3,410 | 6,228 | 9,949 | ||
| R | 2,817 | 7,889 | 11,003 | ||
| R | 4,094 | 6,165 | 10,765 | ||
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Demographics
Anchored by the state capital and Colby College's home city, this compact metro blends government-sector employment with working-class mill-town demographics, producing competitive margins that frequently mirror Maine's statewide results.
The Democratic margin in Augusta-Waterville, ME peaked at thirty-seven points in 1964. By 2024 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $69,077 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/12300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.