akashic
1876–2024
Augusta-Waterville, ME·Maine

Augusta-Waterville, ME peaked at D+37; 2024 delivered R+3.

Maine's mid-state corridor where college towns temper rural conservatism

18762024·38 elections
ME
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
126,808
2024 ACS

Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
126,8082024 5-year
Median household income
$69,0772024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
92.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+37 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+49 in 1924MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−2.7%
34,58536,58972,886
D
+0.2%
34,90234,72172,615
R
−3.6%
29,30231,67566,208
D
+13.5%
35,06826,51963,497
D
+14.8%
37,23827,48265,986
D
+8.8%
35,61629,76166,772
D
+12.3%
31,19823,96758,907
D
+26.7%
30,25715,40355,654
D
+12.5%
25,12517,13563,921
R
−8.0%
23,57827,73451,745
R
−19.9%
21,18331,75353,191
R
−1.2%
20,94321,51749,077
D
+2.0%
23,47322,53447,407
R
−20.1%
16,37924,61741,035
D
+15.0%
21,75216,00938,292
D
+37.4%
24,81311,30736,143
R
−8.6%
18,25221,69939,951
R
−33.5%
11,48323,02834,511
R
−27.3%
12,11321,20733,351
R
−10.9%
11,16313,92325,260
R
−0.9%
14,07014,33528,430
D
+3.2%
15,86114,87730,765
R
−13.7%
11,26814,98727,081
R
−8.7%
12,11014,45126,797
R
−30.7%
8,22615,54123,859
R
−49.2%
4,18413,12218,159
R
−38.2%
5,46612,33317,973
R
−9.6%
5,5276,73112,531
O
+22.3%
4,3971,78211,726
R
−35.1%
2,8716,1339,294
R
−40.9%
2,3335,7658,394
R
−28.3%
3,4106,2289,949
R
−46.1%
2,8177,88911,003
R
−19.2%
4,0946,16510,765
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
21.9%
Irish
15.5%
French
15.4%
German
7.1%
American
5.7%
Italian
5.0%
Scottish
4.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.2%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.1%
Spanish0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.3%
Baptist
5.9%
Other Christian
5.8%
Methodist
2.5%
Non-Christian
2.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by the state capital and Colby College's home city, this compact metro blends government-sector employment with working-class mill-town demographics, producing competitive margins that frequently mirror Maine's statewide results.

The Democratic margin in Augusta-Waterville, ME peaked at thirty-seven points in 1964. By 2024 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $69,077 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/12300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine voted Republican by 2.7 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 72,886 votes cast, 34,585 went Democratic and 36,589 went Republican.
What is Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 22 times, and other 1 times.
When did Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine?
Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine has a population of 126,808 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine?
Median household income in Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine is $69,077 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Augusta-Waterville, ME, Maine from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.