Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX, Texas: Urban anchor metro. In 2024, voted D+20%. Democratic peak: D+82 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+20MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Urban anchorAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,426,5922024 5-year
- Median household income
- $100,5122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 32.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+19 in 1984MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 634,882 | 416,716 | 1,074,971 | ||
| D | 661,325 | 377,293 | 1,061,647 | ||
| D | 441,316 | 288,229 | 786,386 | ||
| D | 334,855 | 288,873 | 645,421 | ||
| D | 367,229 | 274,866 | 652,735 | ||
| R | 275,308 | 277,916 | 563,162 | ||
| R | 174,349 | 241,972 | 459,248 | ||
| D | 175,459 | 157,717 | 362,069 | ||
| D | 170,871 | 132,050 | 387,574 | ||
| D | 171,212 | 154,497 | 328,932 | ||
| R | 118,843 | 173,939 | 293,737 | ||
| R | 99,320 | 101,350 | 214,975 | ||
| D | 103,380 | 88,844 | 195,223 | ||
| R | 65,911 | 89,233 | 155,885 | ||
| D | 54,317 | 42,082 | 109,073 | ||
| D | 62,760 | 25,059 | 87,902 | ||
| D | 40,943 | 28,832 | 69,965 | ||
| R | 31,418 | 31,649 | 63,212 | ||
| D | 32,270 | 30,223 | 62,557 | ||
| D | 32,785 | 8,709 | 44,073 | ||
| D | 26,878 | 5,147 | 36,266 | ||
| D | 31,606 | 6,456 | 38,157 | ||
| D | 24,465 | 2,260 | 26,960 | ||
| D | 26,717 | 2,641 | 29,509 | ||
| D | 11,541 | 9,807 | 21,374 | ||
| D | 20,418 | 4,130 | 25,743 | ||
| D | 10,621 | 3,018 | 16,845 | ||
| D | 9,929 | 2,244 | 12,412 | ||
| D | 7,783 | 1,046 | 10,218 | ||
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Demographics
Rapid in-migration from coastal tech hubs has reshaped the electorate faster than almost any other Sun Belt metro, compressing Republican margins in surrounding Williamson and Hays counties even as the urban core remains heavily Democratic.
The Democratic margin in Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX has been steady. It reached its modern peak at eighty-two points in 1936; the 2024 margin was twenty points, still in line with the metro's long pattern.
Its political identity is inseparable from its demographic profile: a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $100,512, and the full diversity of a major metropolitan center.
Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/12420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.