Baker City, OR, Oregon: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+49%. Republican peak: R+50 in 2020.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 16,8402024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,9362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Baker City, OR, OROne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,343 | 7,060 | 9,694 | ||
| R | 2,346 | 7,352 | 9,932 | ||
| R | 1,797 | 6,218 | 8,779 | ||
| R | 2,369 | 5,702 | 8,448 | ||
| R | 2,805 | 5,650 | 8,777 | ||
| R | 2,616 | 6,253 | 9,034 | ||
| R | 2,195 | 5,618 | 8,258 | ||
| R | 2,547 | 3,975 | 7,703 | ||
| R | 2,395 | 2,862 | 7,530 | ||
| R | 2,896 | 3,696 | 6,826 | ||
| R | 2,591 | 5,204 | 7,812 | ||
| R | 2,515 | 4,747 | 8,013 | ||
| R | 3,306 | 3,340 | 6,919 | ||
| R | 2,047 | 3,441 | 6,220 | ||
| R | 2,464 | 3,311 | 6,255 | ||
| D | 3,903 | 2,670 | 6,585 | ||
| D | 3,734 | 3,514 | 7,251 | ||
| R | 3,431 | 3,706 | 7,137 | ||
| R | 2,562 | 4,253 | 6,838 | ||
| D | 3,035 | 2,841 | 6,040 | ||
| D | 3,116 | 2,494 | 5,641 | ||
| D | 4,353 | 3,101 | 7,493 | ||
| D | 4,991 | 1,768 | 7,151 | ||
| D | 4,420 | 2,097 | 6,674 | ||
| R | 1,861 | 3,721 | 5,679 | ||
| R | 2,004 | 2,803 | 6,172 | ||
| R | 2,171 | 3,495 | 5,961 | ||
| D | 3,897 | 2,541 | 6,838 | ||
| O | 1,395 | 648 | 3,686 | ||
| R | 1,596 | 1,689 | 3,610 | ||
| R | 938 | 1,990 | 3,330 | ||
| D | 1,615 | 1,458 | 3,160 | ||
| D | 1,860 | 951 | 2,852 | ||
| R | 355 | 755 | 1,741 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
16.9%
German
16.6%
Irish
11.4%
American
5.8%
Scottish
5.7%
Italian
2.9%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 47.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,936
Baker City, OR ranks near the middle of US counties.
Baker City, OR$60,936
Oregon$83,011
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.7%
Working age (18–64)15.5%
Seniors (65+)14.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.7%
speak English only
Spanish1.8%
Other Indo-European0.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Baker City, OR sits in the Pacific Northwest. For most of the post-war period it was a Democratic metro — its working-class profile gave it the same political habits as much of its region. That identity has shifted decisively in the last twenty years.
The Democratic margin in Baker City, OR peaked at forty-five points in 1936. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $60,936 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Baker City, OR, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/12520/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Baker City, OR, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Baker City, OR, Oregon voted Republican by 48.7 points (R+49), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,694 votes cast, 2,343 went Democratic and 7,060 went Republican.
What is Baker City, OR, Oregon's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Baker City, OR, Oregon as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Baker City, OR, Oregon last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Baker City, OR, Oregon voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Baker City, OR, Oregon?
Baker City, OR, Oregon has a population of 16,840 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Baker City, OR, Oregon?
Median household income in Baker City, OR, Oregon is $60,936 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Baker City, OR, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Baker City, OR, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.