akashic
1876–2024
Bakersfield-Delano, CA·California

Bakersfield-Delano, CA has voted Republican in fifteen straight presidential cycles.

San Joaquin Valley's oil-and-ag hub punches above its weight in statewide GOP margins

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
R+21
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
915,075
2024 ACS

Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California: Republican loyalist metro. In 2024, voted R+21%. Democratic peak: D+52 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+21MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
915,0752024 5-year
Median household income
$70,2102024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
43.9%2024 5-year
Black
5.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
56.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+52 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+34 in 2004MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−21.1%
108,241167,879283,246
R
−10.2%
133,366164,484305,292
R
−12.7%
98,689129,584244,163
R
−16.7%
89,495126,618222,189
R
−17.7%
93,457134,793233,808
R
−34.0%
68,603140,417211,174
R
−24.5%
66,003110,663182,308
R
−17.2%
62,65892,151171,391
R
−11.3%
60,51080,762179,263
R
−24.1%
55,08390,550147,293
R
−31.0%
49,56794,776145,744
R
−26.0%
41,09772,842122,121
R
−6.7%
50,56758,023110,961
R
−25.0%
41,93771,686119,193
R
−4.1%
49,28453,990115,832
D
+17.5%
64,17445,014109,308
R
−1.3%
51,44052,800104,705
R
−3.0%
43,53346,22090,075
R
−10.4%
36,15144,60081,332
D
+14.6%
33,02924,46458,811
D
+11.6%
26,20520,73047,161
D
+24.5%
32,20219,44552,126
D
+50.4%
25,7268,34534,479
D
+45.2%
19,6347,01127,920
R
−26.2%
8,54114,69223,445
R
−29.2%
3,1598,64618,763
R
−6.8%
6,0957,07914,444
D
+24.7%
9,5665,61115,981
D
+51.7%
5,569010,765
R
−1.1%
2,2152,2704,978
R
−13.9%
1,7242,3594,571
D
+7.2%
1,9601,6923,746
D
+10.2%
1,7631,4303,265
D
+10.9%
1,2669922,513
D
+14.5%
1,2299102,195
D
+14.1%
7985981,423
D
+17.5%
6614631,131
D
+20.6%
8445561,400

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.7%
English
5.6%
Irish
4.8%
American
3.5%
Italian
1.9%
French
1.0%
Scottish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
54.3%
speak English only
Spanish40.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.8%
Other Indo-European2.0%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
26.1%
Other Christian
10.4%
Baptist
3.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.5%
Mainline Protestant
0.8%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Methodist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Bakersfield-Delano anchors California's most reliably Republican media market, where petroleum extraction and large-scale agriculture shape a working-class electorate that consistently diverges from the coastal Democratic baseline by double-digit margins.

The Republican margin in Bakersfield-Delano, CA reached its widest at thirty-four points in 2004. The margin in 2024 was twenty-one points, in line with the metro's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $70,210, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 915,075 together describe a metro whose political habits are deeply settled.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/12540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California voted Republican by 21.1 points (R+21), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 283,246 votes cast, 108,241 went Democratic and 167,879 went Republican.
What is Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California as a "Republican loyalist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 23 times, and other 0 times.
When did Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California?
Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California has a population of 915,075 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California?
Median household income in Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California is $70,210 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.