akashic
1876–2024
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD·Maryland

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD delivered D+23 in 2024.

Anchor metro where dense urban cores pull against affluent suburban corridors

18762024·38 elections
MD
Latest
D+23
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
2,849,436
2024 ACS

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+23%. Democratic peak: D+83 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+23MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
2,849,4362024 5-year
Median household income
$103,5252024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
53.5%2024 5-year
Black
28.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+83 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+24 in 1972MIT Election Lab
7 counties · 4 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+23.3%
852,369521,3841,422,620
D
+26.0%
878,185507,6761,423,875
D
+18.3%
733,718497,6371,292,656
D
+18.0%
746,052513,1641,290,428
D
+16.8%
725,858513,8111,263,858
D
+5.7%
602,806536,5651,154,390
D
+11.3%
529,648418,775982,136
D
+12.2%
449,711344,488865,311
D
+13.0%
489,922359,0981,003,874
R
−2.9%
417,858443,183867,309
R
−4.8%
411,432453,257869,474
D
+10.2%
418,928335,428820,916
D
+7.2%
405,269351,057756,326
R
−24.0%
263,239432,723706,822
D
+6.2%
306,922266,165661,502
D
+34.9%
430,088207,772637,910
D
+11.6%
346,805274,819621,626
R
−21.7%
222,012345,148567,160
R
−7.5%
260,178302,776568,764
D
+1.9%
190,316183,020383,507
D
+9.3%
215,526178,937394,463
D
+21.5%
262,062168,611435,032
D
+30.9%
270,795142,332415,719
D
+30.7%
215,095111,909336,583
R
−8.3%
161,022190,301353,510
R
−3.3%
87,81095,132221,266
R
−15.3%
115,489158,881283,028
D
+10.3%
91,04373,635168,263
D
+82.5%
150,46028,664147,563
No data
140,73473,5103,740
No data
163,02666,5263,062
No data
76,40283,1941,094
R
−15.4%
62,61786,525154,863
D
+15.2%
72,95253,223129,385
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.3%
Irish
11.0%
English
9.0%
Italian
5.4%
American
4.2%
Polish
3.4%
Scottish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
85.3%
speak English only
Spanish5.4%
Other Indo-European3.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.3%
Other languages2.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
12.9%
Other Christian
8.7%
Non-Christian
5.2%
Methodist
4.5%
Mainline Protestant
3.4%
Baptist
3.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Baltimore city's majority-Black electorate and its surrounding Anne Arundel and Howard County suburbs produce some of Maryland's sharpest intra-metro contrasts, with presidential margins swinging 40+ points between jurisdictions.

The Democratic margin in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD has rarely exceeded eighty-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-four points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by twenty-three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 54% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $103,525 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/12580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland vote in 2024?
In 2024, Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland voted Democratic by 23.3 points (D+23), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,422,620 votes cast, 852,369 went Democratic and 521,384 went Republican.
What is Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 9 times, and other 0 times.
When did Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland?
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland has a population of 2,849,436 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland?
Median household income in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland is $103,525 — above the national median of $80,734. The Maryland state median is $103,678.
What is the political history of Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.