Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+23%. Democratic peak: D+83 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+23MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,849,4362024 5-year
- Median household income
- $103,5252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 53.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 28.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+24 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 852,369 | 521,384 | 1,422,620 | ||
| D | 878,185 | 507,676 | 1,423,875 | ||
| D | 733,718 | 497,637 | 1,292,656 | ||
| D | 746,052 | 513,164 | 1,290,428 | ||
| D | 725,858 | 513,811 | 1,263,858 | ||
| D | 602,806 | 536,565 | 1,154,390 | ||
| D | 529,648 | 418,775 | 982,136 | ||
| D | 449,711 | 344,488 | 865,311 | ||
| D | 489,922 | 359,098 | 1,003,874 | ||
| R | 417,858 | 443,183 | 867,309 | ||
| R | 411,432 | 453,257 | 869,474 | ||
| D | 418,928 | 335,428 | 820,916 | ||
| D | 405,269 | 351,057 | 756,326 | ||
| R | 263,239 | 432,723 | 706,822 | ||
| D | 306,922 | 266,165 | 661,502 | ||
| D | 430,088 | 207,772 | 637,910 | ||
| D | 346,805 | 274,819 | 621,626 | ||
| R | 222,012 | 345,148 | 567,160 | ||
| R | 260,178 | 302,776 | 568,764 | ||
| D | 190,316 | 183,020 | 383,507 | ||
| D | 215,526 | 178,937 | 394,463 | ||
| D | 262,062 | 168,611 | 435,032 | ||
| D | 270,795 | 142,332 | 415,719 | ||
| D | 215,095 | 111,909 | 336,583 | ||
| R | 161,022 | 190,301 | 353,510 | ||
| R | 87,810 | 95,132 | 221,266 | ||
| R | 115,489 | 158,881 | 283,028 | ||
| D | 91,043 | 73,635 | 168,263 | ||
| D | 150,460 | 28,664 | 147,563 | ||
| — | 140,734 | 73,510 | 3,740 | ||
| — | 163,026 | 66,526 | 3,062 | ||
| — | 76,402 | 83,194 | 1,094 | ||
| R | 62,617 | 86,525 | 154,863 | ||
| D | 72,952 | 53,223 | 129,385 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Baltimore city's majority-Black electorate and its surrounding Anne Arundel and Howard County suburbs produce some of Maryland's sharpest intra-metro contrasts, with presidential margins swinging 40+ points between jurisdictions.
The Democratic margin in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD has rarely exceeded eighty-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-four points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by twenty-three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 54% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $103,525 — all within the broad national range.
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Maryland — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/12580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.