Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+56%. Democratic peak: D+62 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 61,1052024 5-year
- Median household income
- $78,4262024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 51.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, NMOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 5,032 | 18,141 | 23,472 | ||
| R | 5,424 | 17,454 | 23,222 | ||
| R | 5,033 | 13,147 | 19,667 | ||
| R | 6,142 | 12,583 | 19,269 | ||
| R | 7,351 | 12,500 | 20,093 | ||
| R | 6,880 | 13,268 | 20,270 | ||
| R | 7,108 | 10,335 | 17,787 | ||
| D | 8,959 | 8,534 | 18,998 | ||
| D | 7,409 | 7,313 | 18,202 | ||
| R | 8,544 | 9,805 | 18,535 | ||
| R | 7,364 | 11,810 | 19,365 | ||
| R | 7,028 | 9,817 | 17,359 | ||
| D | 9,073 | 7,698 | 16,886 | ||
| R | 5,040 | 9,921 | 15,346 | ||
| R | 6,093 | 7,193 | 15,066 | ||
| D | 11,216 | 6,747 | 18,032 | ||
| D | 8,707 | 7,986 | 16,780 | ||
| D | 7,820 | 6,691 | 14,618 | ||
| D | 7,495 | 6,041 | 13,591 | ||
| D | 7,593 | 2,305 | 10,021 | ||
| D | 5,228 | 2,083 | 7,327 | ||
| D | 4,968 | 1,625 | 6,604 | ||
| D | 4,349 | 1,027 | 5,425 | ||
| D | 3,565 | 818 | 4,459 | ||
| R | 1,212 | 1,618 | 2,833 | ||
| D | 1,524 | 658 | 2,320 | ||
| D | 1,611 | 982 | 2,624 | ||
| D | 1,402 | 425 | 1,932 | ||
| D | 936 | 145 | 1,618 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
9.8%
German
7.5%
American
6.7%
Irish
6.1%
Italian
1.1%
Scottish
1.1%
French
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$78,426
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM ranks near the middle of US counties.
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM$78,426
New Mexico$64,059
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.3%
Working age (18–64)13.2%
Seniors (65+)19.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
71.7%
speak English only
Spanish27.1%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Other languages0.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Anchored by Carlsbad and Artesia along the Pecos River, this southeastern New Mexico corridor sits at the heart of the Permian Basin's New Mexico side, where petroleum-sector employment has long reinforced Republican-leaning margins in federal and statewide contests.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM peaked at sixty-two points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2000 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of eighteen points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $78,426 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/16100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico voted Republican by 55.8 points (R+56), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,472 votes cast, 5,032 went Democratic and 18,141 went Republican.
What is Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico as a "Realigner" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico?
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico has a population of 61,105 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico?
Median household income in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico is $78,426 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.