Casper, WY, Wyoming: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+48%. Republican peak: R+56 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 79,9772024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,1562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 1892MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 8,337 | 24,671 | 33,921 | ||
| R | 8,530 | 25,271 | 35,202 | ||
| R | 6,577 | 23,552 | 33,348 | ||
| R | 8,961 | 22,132 | 32,373 | ||
| R | 10,475 | 21,906 | 33,267 | ||
| R | 9,863 | 21,512 | 32,068 | ||
| R | 8,646 | 18,439 | 28,388 | ||
| R | 11,240 | 13,182 | 28,215 | ||
| D | 9,817 | 9,717 | 27,400 | ||
| R | 9,148 | 14,005 | 23,487 | ||
| R | 7,598 | 18,488 | 26,464 | ||
| R | 7,111 | 16,801 | 26,672 | ||
| R | 8,640 | 13,761 | 22,621 | ||
| R | 6,514 | 15,649 | 22,200 | ||
| R | 5,900 | 10,679 | 18,674 | ||
| D | 11,167 | 10,135 | 21,302 | ||
| R | 9,002 | 11,809 | 20,811 | ||
| R | 6,462 | 10,796 | 17,258 | ||
| R | 6,021 | 10,663 | 16,695 | ||
| D | 6,183 | 5,341 | 11,608 | ||
| R | 4,890 | 5,196 | 10,086 | ||
| D | 6,373 | 5,555 | 11,949 | ||
| D | 7,819 | 3,810 | 11,907 | ||
| D | 6,777 | 4,368 | 11,533 | ||
| R | 3,818 | 7,141 | 11,023 | ||
| R | 3,857 | 8,267 | 13,755 | ||
| R | 1,153 | 2,957 | 4,467 | ||
| D | 1,377 | 912 | 2,327 | ||
| R | 447 | 640 | 1,406 | ||
| R | 461 | 835 | 1,310 | ||
| R | 320 | 738 | 1,065 | ||
| R | 267 | 520 | 787 | ||
| R | 327 | 392 | 722 | ||
| R | 0 | 194 | 347 | ||
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Demographics
Casper's economy tracks closely with oil and gas cycles, shaping a workforce-heavy electorate that has backed Republican presidential candidates by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles.
The Democratic margin in Casper, WY peaked at thirty-four points in 1936. By 1996 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $72,156 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Casper, WY, Wyoming — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/16220/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.