Carson City, NV, Nevada: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+11%. Republican peak: R+48 in 1952.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 58,3842024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,3552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 26.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1952MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 13,375 | 16,873 | 31,068 | ||
| R | 12,735 | 16,113 | 29,739 | ||
| R | 9,610 | 13,125 | 25,016 | ||
| R | 10,291 | 12,394 | 23,319 | ||
| D | 11,623 | 11,419 | 23,463 | ||
| R | 9,441 | 13,171 | 23,106 | ||
| R | 7,354 | 11,084 | 19,452 | ||
| R | 7,269 | 9,168 | 18,814 | ||
| R | 6,035 | 7,302 | 18,803 | ||
| R | 5,088 | 9,701 | 15,291 | ||
| R | 3,790 | 9,477 | 13,536 | ||
| R | 2,769 | 8,389 | 12,556 | ||
| R | 3,874 | 5,282 | 9,761 | ||
| R | 2,120 | 5,396 | 7,516 | ||
| R | 1,770 | 3,169 | 5,601 | ||
| D | 2,129 | 1,997 | 4,126 | ||
| R | 1,283 | 1,946 | 3,229 | ||
| R | 822 | 1,749 | 2,571 | ||
| R | 579 | 1,653 | 2,232 | ||
| R | 681 | 1,095 | 1,801 | ||
| R | 665 | 841 | 1,506 | ||
| D | 785 | 748 | 1,533 | ||
| D | 745 | 533 | 1,278 | ||
| D | 579 | 486 | 1,065 | ||
| R | 426 | 590 | 1,016 | ||
| D | 415 | 413 | 932 | ||
| R | 413 | 592 | 1,024 | ||
| D | 610 | 534 | 1,227 | ||
| D | 294 | 150 | 675 | ||
| R | 343 | 350 | 751 | ||
| R | 218 | 409 | 680 | ||
| D | 399 | 311 | 710 | ||
| D | 566 | 284 | 850 | ||
| R | 31 | 417 | 862 | ||
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Demographics
As the seat of state government, Carson City draws a high share of public-sector workers whose turnout patterns differ markedly from the casino-economy counties to its north and south, making it a reliable bellwether for rural Nevada's shifting margins.
The Democratic margin in Carson City, NV peaked at thirty-three points in 1896. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was eleven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $72,355 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Carson City, NV, Nevada — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/16180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.