akashic
1876–2024
Chambersburg, PA·Pennsylvania

Chambersburg, PA was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

South-central Pennsylvania anchor where rural conservatism meets small-city growth

18762024·38 elections
PA
Latest
R+43
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
157,379
2024 ACS

Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+43%. Republican peak: R+68 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+43MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
157,3792024 5-year
Median household income
$77,0032024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.8%2024 5-year
Black
3.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+18 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+68 in 1928MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−42.8%
23,54359,60484,163
R
−43.1%
22,42257,24580,783
R
−45.8%
17,46549,76870,506
R
−38.3%
18,99543,26063,320
R
−32.6%
21,16941,90663,641
R
−43.1%
16,56241,81758,569
R
−37.0%
14,92233,04249,019
R
−23.3%
14,98025,39244,730
R
−22.7%
13,44023,38743,834
R
−37.1%
12,36827,08639,644
R
−40.6%
11,48027,24338,845
R
−29.0%
12,06122,71636,741
R
−15.2%
14,64320,00935,389
R
−42.5%
9,45624,09334,415
R
−21.9%
11,45119,14635,195
D
+17.6%
19,33213,52532,942
R
−29.1%
12,08822,01034,134
R
−26.7%
11,06019,12130,193
R
−29.9%
8,86816,47425,416
R
−24.4%
7,35212,15119,664
R
−20.6%
8,80713,38022,250
R
−1.4%
12,71313,08425,840
D
+6.9%
15,63213,61629,413
R
−8.0%
9,33810,99220,758
R
−68.2%
3,02716,34519,518
R
−24.2%
5,7709,79116,645
R
−24.2%
5,0208,37613,857
R
−2.9%
5,3365,67411,612
D
+15.6%
4,5052,71011,523
R
−18.9%
4,6826,93811,952
R
−25.8%
4,1147,06211,435
R
−17.7%
4,5006,48311,182
R
−20.2%
4,4256,74711,472
R
−7.0%
4,9655,72510,891
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
29.9%
Irish
10.6%
American
10.0%
English
9.5%
Italian
3.9%
Polish
2.2%
Scottish
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.4%
speak English only
Spanish5.1%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
10.5%
Mainline Protestant
8.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.6%
Methodist
5.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.2%
Baptist
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Franklin County, home to Chambersburg, has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, yet its population has grown steadily as proximity to the Hagerstown and D.C. corridors draws new residents.

The Democratic margin in Chambersburg, PA peaked at eighteen points in 1964. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $77,003 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/16540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 42.8 points (R+43), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 84,163 votes cast, 23,543 went Democratic and 59,604 went Republican.
What is Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 31 times, and other 0 times.
When did Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania?
Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 157,379 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania is $77,003 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Chambersburg, PA, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 31 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.