Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+14%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 238,8422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,7892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 59,161 | 43,847 | 105,642 | ||
| D | 62,150 | 46,581 | 112,391 | ||
| D | 54,196 | 43,482 | 107,084 | ||
| D | 45,577 | 44,954 | 93,375 | ||
| D | 54,683 | 42,941 | 99,528 | ||
| R | 46,560 | 49,799 | 97,499 | ||
| R | 41,093 | 43,153 | 88,823 | ||
| D | 37,793 | 34,574 | 79,611 | ||
| D | 40,698 | 33,218 | 91,020 | ||
| R | 34,858 | 41,443 | 76,921 | ||
| R | 31,869 | 49,095 | 81,467 | ||
| R | 25,241 | 43,220 | 80,392 | ||
| R | 33,057 | 43,789 | 78,680 | ||
| R | 29,071 | 44,413 | 73,738 | ||
| R | 23,088 | 35,233 | 63,711 | ||
| D | 33,116 | 29,801 | 62,917 | ||
| R | 22,702 | 38,078 | 61,318 | ||
| R | 18,307 | 38,839 | 57,201 | ||
| R | 18,292 | 38,105 | 56,528 | ||
| R | 16,012 | 27,705 | 44,544 | ||
| R | 18,753 | 28,164 | 47,147 | ||
| R | 24,189 | 30,648 | 55,165 | ||
| D | 26,002 | 24,263 | 51,006 | ||
| D | 24,849 | 20,516 | 46,129 | ||
| R | 12,972 | 28,727 | 41,900 | ||
| R | 8,047 | 22,715 | 35,208 | ||
| R | 8,108 | 24,851 | 34,027 | ||
| R | 14,683 | 23,314 | 39,550 | ||
| O | 6,906 | 5,116 | 20,023 | ||
| R | 7,524 | 12,128 | 20,574 | ||
| R | 6,014 | 12,305 | 19,341 | ||
| R | 8,389 | 12,244 | 21,241 | ||
| R | 8,108 | 12,191 | 20,764 | ||
| R | 7,757 | 9,655 | 18,385 | ||
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Demographics
Home to the University of Illinois flagship campus, Champaign-Urbana turns notably more Democratic than surrounding McLean and Vermilion counties, making it a reliable turnout target in statewide races decided by single-digit margins.
The Democratic margin in Champaign-Urbana, IL has rarely exceeded fourteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-nine points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by fourteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 68% non-Hispanic-white share, a 18% poverty rate, and a median household income of $65,789 — all within the broad national range.
Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/16580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.