akashic
1876–2024
Champaign-Urbana, IL·Illinois

Champaign-Urbana, IL delivered D+14 in 2024.

Twin college cities anchoring a flat-terrain swing corridor

18762024·38 elections
IL
Latest
D+14
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
238,842
2024 ACS

Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+14%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
238,8422024 5-year
Median household income
$65,7892024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
67.8%2024 5-year
Black
11.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+14 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+49 in 1920MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+14.5%
59,16143,847105,642
D
+13.9%
62,15046,581112,391
D
+10.0%
54,19643,482107,084
D
+0.7%
45,57744,95493,375
D
+11.8%
54,68342,94199,528
R
−3.3%
46,56049,79997,499
R
−2.3%
41,09343,15388,823
D
+4.0%
37,79334,57479,611
D
+8.2%
40,69833,21891,020
R
−8.6%
34,85841,44376,921
R
−21.1%
31,86949,09581,467
R
−22.4%
25,24143,22080,392
R
−13.6%
33,05743,78978,680
R
−20.8%
29,07144,41373,738
R
−19.1%
23,08835,23363,711
D
+5.3%
33,11629,80162,917
R
−25.1%
22,70238,07861,318
R
−35.9%
18,30738,83957,201
R
−35.0%
18,29238,10556,528
R
−26.3%
16,01227,70544,544
R
−20.0%
18,75328,16447,147
R
−11.7%
24,18930,64855,165
D
+3.4%
26,00224,26351,006
D
+9.4%
24,84920,51646,129
R
−37.6%
12,97228,72741,900
R
−41.7%
8,04722,71535,208
R
−49.2%
8,10824,85134,027
R
−21.8%
14,68323,31439,550
O
+8.9%
6,9065,11620,023
R
−22.4%
7,52412,12820,574
R
−32.5%
6,01412,30519,341
R
−18.1%
8,38912,24421,241
R
−19.7%
8,10812,19120,764
R
−10.3%
7,7579,65518,385
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.5%
English
10.4%
Irish
9.5%
American
3.5%
Italian
2.7%
Polish
2.7%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.0%
speak English only
Asian & Pacific Islander6.8%
Spanish5.0%
Other Indo-European4.5%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
12.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.3%
Mainline Protestant
4.9%
Methodist
4.3%
Baptist
2.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.9%
Non-Christian
1.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to the University of Illinois flagship campus, Champaign-Urbana turns notably more Democratic than surrounding McLean and Vermilion counties, making it a reliable turnout target in statewide races decided by single-digit margins.

The Democratic margin in Champaign-Urbana, IL has rarely exceeded fourteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-nine points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by fourteen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 68% non-Hispanic-white share, a 18% poverty rate, and a median household income of $65,789 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/16580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois voted Democratic by 14.5 points (D+14), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 105,642 votes cast, 59,161 went Democratic and 43,847 went Republican.
What is Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois?
Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois has a population of 238,842 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois?
Median household income in Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois is $65,789 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Champaign-Urbana, IL, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.