akashic
1876–2024
Cleveland, OH·Ohio

Cleveland, OH delivered D+9 in 2024.

A Rust Belt anchor where turnout patterns split sharply by suburb

1876 — 2024·38 elections
OH
Latest
D+9
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
2,171,526
2024 ACS

Cleveland, OH, Ohio: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+9%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+9MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
2,171,5262024 5-year
Median household income
$71,7102024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
69.5%2024 5-year
Black
18.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+39 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+43 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
6 counties · 1 D · 5 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+9.4%
580,796479,1941,076,762
D
+12.8%
624,855481,1281,119,609
D
+14.4%
576,945423,6391,065,950
D
+23.7%
668,664408,1141,101,116
D
+24.6%
691,054414,3241,122,773
D
+19.9%
666,704444,6001,117,069
D
+16.6%
528,012372,509938,481
D
+22.0%
497,498298,750902,970
D
+15.4%
475,496320,2991,008,983
D
+9.2%
500,583415,767924,605
D
+2.7%
497,502470,788978,074
D
+1.3%
424,091411,734916,915
D
+12.0%
489,890382,398898,484
R
−7.4%
414,851482,479917,504
D
+13.5%
467,871344,497911,521
D
+39.1%
638,263279,228917,491
D
+13.9%
543,415410,475953,890
R
−11.7%
375,428475,122850,550
R
−5.1%
391,456433,366824,822
D
+5.1%
310,852279,864610,039
D
+15.2%
391,212288,238679,450
D
+18.8%
409,851279,934689,785
D
+32.6%
371,991179,167592,163
D
+1.0%
230,908226,259479,555
R
−15.2%
193,307263,258460,685
R
−43.2%
33,553179,856338,737
R
−35.4%
91,483199,114304,335
D
+11.2%
91,42272,210171,289
O
+24.4%
55,79221,035142,447
R
−20.0%
53,95182,914144,987
R
−41.7%
31,48185,492129,578
R
−13.0%
56,07773,323132,929
R
−14.9%
51,26669,436122,211
R
−7.3%
40,02446,68591,084
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.4%
Irish
13.2%
Italian
9.1%
English
8.8%
Polish
6.6%
American
3.8%
Scottish
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.6%
2.5%
75–84
3.3%
5.5%
65–74
6.3%
6.7%
55–64
7.2%
5.9%
45–54
6.1%
6.1%
35–44
6.2%
6.5%
25–34
6.6%
4.1%
18–24
4.0%
7.9%
5–17
7.6%
2.7%
<5
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$71,710
Cleveland, OH ranks near the middle of US counties.
Cleveland, OH$71,710
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.1%
Working age (18–64)12.0%
Seniors (65+)11.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.7%
speak English only
Other Indo-European4.0%
Spanish3.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
26.1%
Other Christian
13.6%
Baptist
4.2%
Mainline Protestant
3.7%
Non-Christian
2.8%
Methodist
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Greater Cleveland's electoral math turns on the gap between Cuyahoga County's dense urban core and its ring of historically competitive inner suburbs, making countywide margins a reliable bellwether for statewide contests.

The Democratic margin in Cleveland, OH has rarely exceeded thirty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-three points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by nine points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 70% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $71,710 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cleveland, OH, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/17410/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Cleveland, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cleveland, OH, Ohio voted Democratic by 9.4 points (D+9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,076,762 votes cast, 580,796 went Democratic and 479,194 went Republican.
What is Cleveland, OH, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Cleveland, OH, Ohio as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 11 times, and other 1 times.
When did Cleveland, OH, Ohio last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Cleveland, OH, Ohio voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Cleveland, OH, Ohio?
Cleveland, OH, Ohio has a population of 2,171,526 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cleveland, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Cleveland, OH, Ohio is $71,710 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Cleveland, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cleveland, OH, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.