akashic
1876–2024
Cleveland, TN·Tennessee

Cleveland, TN peaked at D+34; 2024 delivered R+60.

A small Tennessee metro where rural-to-suburban transition shapes the ballot

18762024·38 elections
TN
Latest
R+60
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
128,963
2024 ACS

Cleveland, TN, Tennessee: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+60%. Republican peak: R+60 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+60MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
128,9632024 5-year
Median household income
$65,9932024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.6%2024 5-year
Black
3.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+34 in 1944MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+60 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−60.0%
11,20846,13858,200
R
−56.5%
11,34341,99654,225
R
−58.7%
8,32234,86545,186
R
−51.3%
9,89331,53042,155
R
−47.3%
11,48132,60044,692
R
−41.9%
12,15529,87542,337
R
−33.5%
11,34223,07435,037
R
−18.6%
11,54517,38831,398
R
−16.4%
12,47218,11234,306
R
−37.6%
8,19518,12626,422
R
−39.7%
8,19719,10727,462
R
−16.8%
10,10814,28324,865
D
+4.7%
12,06010,97123,206
R
−49.1%
4,23512,72517,285
R
−25.3%
4,2168,73217,861
R
−3.7%
7,8068,40216,208
R
−34.7%
4,83910,05215,036
R
−27.3%
4,7588,38313,280
R
−21.3%
4,4676,88911,373
R
−12.6%
3,4484,4718,142
D
+34.4%
6,1542,9949,177
D
+27.4%
5,5873,1798,788
D
+8.2%
5,0894,3169,438
D
+8.8%
3,8353,2127,084
R
−41.0%
1,9254,6146,554
R
−16.7%
2,1493,0265,249
R
−27.9%
1,8333,2735,160
R
−20.7%
1,5512,3693,961
D
+13.3%
1,5121,0183,719
R
−24.0%
1,3672,2383,636
R
−23.4%
1,3892,2483,670
R
−20.0%
1,6462,4854,204
R
−19.1%
1,8062,6724,534
R
−17.6%
1,5272,2163,923
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.3%
Irish
12.2%
German
10.0%
American
8.9%
Italian
2.5%
Scottish
2.3%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.8%
speak English only
Spanish5.3%
Other Indo-European2.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
27.9%
Other Christian
13.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
12.3%
Methodist
4.2%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.8%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 37.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Cleveland anchors Bradley County in the southeastern corner of Tennessee, where a manufacturing base and proximity to Chattanooga have drawn younger working families into a historically deep-red voting landscape that has held consistent double-digit Republican margins.

The Democratic margin in Cleveland, TN peaked at thirty-four points in 1944. By 1980 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $65,993 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cleveland, TN, Tennessee — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/17420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Cleveland, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cleveland, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 60.0 points (R+60), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 58,200 votes cast, 11,208 went Democratic and 46,138 went Republican.
What is Cleveland, TN, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Cleveland, TN, Tennessee as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 6 times, Republican 28 times, and other 0 times.
When did Cleveland, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cleveland, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Cleveland, TN, Tennessee?
Cleveland, TN, Tennessee has a population of 128,963 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cleveland, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Cleveland, TN, Tennessee is $65,993 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Cleveland, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cleveland, TN, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.